Stock Analysis

Earnings are growing at United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust (SGX:ODBU) but shareholders still don't like its prospects

  •  Updated
SGX:ODBU
Source: Shutterstock

It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. But if you buy individual stocks, you can do both better or worse than that. That downside risk was realized by United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust (SGX:ODBU) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 21%. That's well below the market decline of 3.4%. United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust may have better days ahead, of course; we've only looked at a one year period.

Since United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust has shed US$32m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

See our latest analysis for United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 137%. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.

It's fair to say that the share price does not seem to be reflecting the EPS growth. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.

United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust's dividend seems healthy to us, so we doubt that the yield is a concern for the market. The revenue trend doesn't seem to explain why the share price is down. Of course, it could simply be that it simply fell short of the market consensus expectations.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SGX:ODBU Earnings and Revenue Growth September 29th 2022

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. You can see what analysts are predicting for United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust the TSR over the last 1 year was -14%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

While United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust shareholders are down 14% for the year (even including dividends), the market itself is up 3.4%. While the aim is to do better than that, it's worth recalling that even great long-term investments sometimes underperform for a year or more. It's worth noting that the last three months did the real damage, with a 14% decline. So it seems like some holders have been dumping the stock of late - and that's not bullish. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust (at least 2 which are concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

About SGX:ODBU

United Hampshire US Real Estate Investment Trust

United Hampshire US REIT is a Singapore real estate investment trust established with the principal investment strategy of investing in a diversified portfolio of stabilised income-producing (i) grocery-anchored and necessity-based retail properties (“Grocery & Necessity Properties”), and (ii) modern, climate-controlled self-storage facilities (“Self-Storage Properties”), located in the U.S.

The Snowflake is a visual investment summary with the score of each axis being calculated by 6 checks in 5 areas.

Analysis AreaScore (0-6)
Valuation5
Future Growth0
Past Performance4
Financial Health1
Dividends4

Read more about these checks in the individual report sections or in our analysis model.

Undervalued with proven track record and pays a dividend.