Stock Analysis

Why You Might Be Interested In Ascendas India Trust (SGX:CY6U) For Its Upcoming Dividend

SGX:CY6U
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Ascendas India Trust (SGX:CY6U) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. This means that investors who purchase shares on or after the 16th of February will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 25th of February.

Ascendas India Trust's next dividend payment will be S$0.042 per share, and in the last 12 months, the company paid a total of S$0.088 per share. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Ascendas India Trust has a trailing yield of approximately 5.9% on its current stock price of SGD1.5. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

See our latest analysis for Ascendas India Trust

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. It paid out 77% of its earnings as dividends last year, which is not unreasonable, but limits reinvestment in the business and leaves the dividend vulnerable to a business downturn. We'd be worried about the risk of a drop in earnings. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. Fortunately, it paid out only 43% of its free cash flow in the past year.

It's positive to see that Ascendas India Trust's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SGX:CY6U Historic Dividend February 11th 2021

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with strong growth prospects usually make the best dividend payers, because it's easier to grow dividends when earnings per share are improving. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. For this reason, we're glad to see Ascendas India Trust's earnings per share have risen 11% per annum over the last five years. It paid out more than three-quarters of its earnings in the last year, even though earnings per share are growing rapidly. Higher earnings generally bode well for growing dividends, although with seemingly strong growth prospects we'd wonder why management are not reinvesting more in the business.

Ascendas India Trust also issued more than 5% of its market cap in new stock during the past year, which we feel is likely to hurt its dividend prospects in the long run. It's hard to grow dividends per share when a company keeps creating new shares.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Ascendas India Trust has delivered an average of 1.6% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. Earnings per share have been growing much quicker than dividends, potentially because Ascendas India Trust is keeping back more of its profits to grow the business.

The Bottom Line

Should investors buy Ascendas India Trust for the upcoming dividend? We like Ascendas India Trust's growing earnings per share and the fact that - while its payout ratio is around average - it paid out a lower percentage of its cash flow. There's a lot to like about Ascendas India Trust, and we would prioritise taking a closer look at it.

In light of that, while Ascendas India Trust has an appealing dividend, it's worth knowing the risks involved with this stock. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Ascendas India Trust (including 1 which can't be ignored).

We wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see, though. Here's a list of interesting dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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