Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that APAC Realty Limited (SGX:CLN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for APAC Realty
What Is APAC Realty's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that APAC Realty had debt of S$51.7m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from S$54.6m over a year. However, it also had S$35.1m in cash, and so its net debt is S$16.6m.
How Strong Is APAC Realty's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that APAC Realty had liabilities of S$111.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$54.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$35.1m as well as receivables valued at S$93.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$38.0m.
APAC Realty has a market capitalization of S$170.5m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
APAC Realty has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.78. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 35.8 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The good news is that APAC Realty has increased its EBIT by 5.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if APAC Realty can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, APAC Realty recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
APAC Realty's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like APAC Realty is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with APAC Realty , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About SGX:CLN
APAC Realty
APAC Realty Limited, and investment holding company, provides real estate services in Singapore, Indonesia, Vietnam, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.