- Singapore
- /
- Personal Products
- /
- SGX:AZT
NutryFarm International (SGX:AZT) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies NutryFarm International Limited (SGX:AZT) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for NutryFarm International
What Is NutryFarm International's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2021, NutryFarm International had HK$145.3m of debt, up from HK$139.1m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have HK$17.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about HK$127.6m.
How Strong Is NutryFarm International's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that NutryFarm International had liabilities of HK$112.1m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$95.3m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$17.7m as well as receivables valued at HK$42.8m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling HK$146.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of HK$208.0m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on NutryFarm International's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 1.5 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.5 hit our confidence in NutryFarm International like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, the silver lining was that NutryFarm International achieved a positive EBIT of HK$14m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is NutryFarm International's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. During the last year, NutryFarm International burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both NutryFarm International's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider NutryFarm International to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example NutryFarm International has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NutryFarm International might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:AZT
NutryFarm International
NutryFarm International Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the research, development, production, trading, and sale of nutrition, health food, and related health products in the People’s Republic of China.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.