Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies JB Foods Limited (SGX:BEW) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for JB Foods
What Is JB Foods's Net Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2020, JB Foods had US$145.5m of debt, up from US$111.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$23.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$122.1m.
How Healthy Is JB Foods's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, JB Foods had liabilities of US$170.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$12.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$23.4m as well as receivables valued at US$55.6m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$103.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$131.9m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on JB Foods's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
JB Foods has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.8 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Sadly, JB Foods's EBIT actually dropped 4.9% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since JB Foods will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, JB Foods saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
We'd go so far as to say JB Foods's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was disappointing. But at least its interest cover is not so bad. Overall, it seems to us that JB Foods's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for JB Foods (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SGX:BEW
JB Foods
An investment holding company, engages in the production and sale of cocoa ingredient products primarily in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, the People’s Republic of China, and the United States.
Proven track record low.