Stock Analysis

Is TA (SGX:PA3) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

SGX:PA3
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, TA Corporation Ltd (SGX:PA3) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is TA's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that TA had debt of S$378.1m at the end of December 2021, a reduction from S$419.0m over a year. However, it also had S$76.4m in cash, and so its net debt is S$301.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:PA3 Debt to Equity History April 8th 2022

How Strong Is TA's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that TA had liabilities of S$439.0m due within a year, and liabilities of S$261.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had S$76.4m in cash and S$83.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$540.7m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the S$32.6m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, TA would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is TA's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, TA reported revenue of S$218m, which is a gain of 35%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate TA's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Its EBIT loss was a whopping S$14m. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost S$29m in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that TA is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.