Stock Analysis

Is Koh Brothers Group (SGX:K75) Using Too Much Debt?

SGX:K75
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Koh Brothers Group Limited (SGX:K75) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Koh Brothers Group

How Much Debt Does Koh Brothers Group Carry?

As you can see below, Koh Brothers Group had S$366.2m of debt, at December 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have S$97.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about S$268.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SGX:K75 Debt to Equity History March 28th 2022

A Look At Koh Brothers Group's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Koh Brothers Group had liabilities of S$277.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$209.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had S$97.9m in cash and S$226.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$161.7m.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the S$68.1m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Koh Brothers Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Koh Brothers Group shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (13.1), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.56 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Koh Brothers Group is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of S$4.5m, over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Koh Brothers Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Koh Brothers Group saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Koh Brothers Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. We think the chances that Koh Brothers Group has too much debt a very significant. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Koh Brothers Group (including 2 which are a bit unpleasant) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Koh Brothers Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.