The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Koh Brothers Group Limited (SGX:K75) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Koh Brothers Group
What Is Koh Brothers Group's Debt?
As you can see below, Koh Brothers Group had S$362.2m of debt, at December 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had S$105.3m in cash, and so its net debt is S$256.8m.
A Look At Koh Brothers Group's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Koh Brothers Group had liabilities of S$233.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$283.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of S$105.3m and S$215.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by S$195.7m.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the S$69.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Koh Brothers Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Koh Brothers Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Koh Brothers Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to S$243m, which is a fall of 31%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Koh Brothers Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable S$17m at the EBIT level. If you consider the significant liabilities mentioned above, we are extremely wary of this investment. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it lost S$15m in just last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So while it's not wise to assume the company will fail, we do think it's risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Koh Brothers Group (including 2 which are potentially serious) .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About SGX:K75
Koh Brothers Group
An investment holding company, provides management services in Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, and internationally.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.