Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies ASL Marine Holdings Ltd. (SGX:A04) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for ASL Marine Holdings
What Is ASL Marine Holdings's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ASL Marine Holdings had debt of S$325.7m at the end of September 2021, a reduction from S$352.2m over a year. On the flip side, it has S$24.4m in cash leading to net debt of about S$301.4m.
How Strong Is ASL Marine Holdings' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ASL Marine Holdings had liabilities of S$200.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of S$312.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of S$24.4m and S$75.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total S$412.4m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the S$31.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, ASL Marine Holdings would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since ASL Marine Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, ASL Marine Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to S$208m, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.
Caveat Emptor
While ASL Marine Holdings's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Its EBIT loss was a whopping S$18m. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost S$31m in the last year. So we're not very excited about owning this stock. Its too risky for us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with ASL Marine Holdings (including 1 which is concerning) .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SGX:A04
ASL Marine Holdings
An investment holding company, provides marine services in the Singapore, Indonesia, Rest of Asia, Europe, Australia, and internationally.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.