Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With Firefly AB (publ)'s (STO:FIRE) Prospects As Shares Rocket 28%

OM:FIRE
Source: Shutterstock

Firefly AB (publ) (STO:FIRE) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 60% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in Sweden have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 21x, you may consider Firefly as a stock to potentially avoid with its 27.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Firefly has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Firefly

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:FIRE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 9th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Firefly will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Firefly's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Firefly's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 122% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 210% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's understandable that Firefly's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the bourse.

The Key Takeaway

The large bounce in Firefly's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Firefly maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Firefly has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Firefly, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.