Stock Analysis

    If You Had Bought HiQ International (STO:HIQ) Stock Five Years Ago, You Could Pocket A 40% Gain Today

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    When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, long term HiQ International AB (publ) (STO:HIQ) shareholders have enjoyed a 40% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 32% (not including dividends).

    See our latest analysis for HiQ International

    To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

    Over half a decade, HiQ International managed to grow its earnings per share at 9.4% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 7.0% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.

    The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time.

    OM:HIQ Past and Future Earnings, October 10th 2019
    OM:HIQ Past and Future Earnings, October 10th 2019

    We know that HiQ International has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.

    What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

    We've already covered HiQ International's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that HiQ International's TSR of 49% over the last 5 years is better than the share price return.

    A Different Perspective

    Investors in HiQ International had a tough year, with a total loss of 14%, against a market gain of about 8.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 8.3%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

    But note: HiQ International may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

    Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SE exchanges.

    We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

    If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.