RugVista Group Valuation

Is RUG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RUG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
SEK 103.11
Fair Value
50.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: RUG (SEK50.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK103.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RUG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RUG?

Key metric: As RUG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RUG. This is calculated by dividing RUG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RUG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.4x
EarningsSEK 51.77m
Market CapSEK 1.06b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RUG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RUG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.2x
BOKUS Bokusgruppen
19.7x18.0%SEK 796.3m
NELLY Nelly Group
12.4xn/aSEK 1.0b
LYKO A Lyko Group
93x52.8%SEK 2.0b
ELON Elon
15.9xn/aSEK 377.5m
RUG RugVista Group
20.4x29.9%SEK 1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RUG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the peer average (35.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RUG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Specialty Retail Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RUG 20.4xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RUG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the European Specialty Retail industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RUG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RUG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.4x
Fair PE Ratio22.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RUG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RUG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 50.80
SEK 60.00
+18.1%
8.3%SEK 65.00SEK 55.00n/a2
Feb ’26SEK 47.40
SEK 59.00
+24.5%
9.1%SEK 65.00SEK 52.00n/a3
Jan ’26SEK 45.00
SEK 56.00
+24.4%
7.1%SEK 60.00SEK 52.00n/a2
Dec ’25SEK 39.90
SEK 56.00
+40.4%
7.1%SEK 60.00SEK 52.00n/a2
Nov ’25SEK 44.80
SEK 58.50
+30.6%
11.1%SEK 65.00SEK 52.00n/a2
Oct ’25SEK 45.00
SEK 60.00
+33.3%
8.3%SEK 65.00SEK 55.00n/a2
Sep ’25SEK 48.50
SEK 63.50
+30.9%
13.4%SEK 72.00SEK 55.00n/a2
Aug ’25SEK 57.40
SEK 65.00
+13.2%
10.8%SEK 72.00SEK 58.00n/a2
Jul ’25SEK 53.00
SEK 69.00
+30.2%
4.3%SEK 72.00SEK 66.00n/a2
Jun ’25SEK 61.20
SEK 69.50
+13.6%
5.0%SEK 73.00SEK 66.00n/a2
May ’25SEK 66.00
SEK 76.50
+15.9%
4.6%SEK 80.00SEK 73.00n/a2
Apr ’25SEK 68.00
SEK 76.50
+12.5%
4.6%SEK 80.00SEK 73.00n/a2
Mar ’25SEK 62.00
SEK 76.50
+23.4%
4.6%SEK 80.00SEK 73.00n/a2
Feb ’25SEK 69.00
SEK 74.00
+7.2%
1.4%SEK 75.00SEK 73.00SEK 47.402
Jan ’25SEK 70.00
SEK 74.00
+5.7%
1.4%SEK 75.00SEK 73.00SEK 45.002
Dec ’24SEK 61.40
SEK 74.00
+20.5%
1.4%SEK 75.00SEK 73.00SEK 39.902
Nov ’24SEK 55.80
SEK 71.00
+27.2%
5.6%SEK 75.00SEK 67.00SEK 44.802
Oct ’24SEK 56.80
SEK 71.00
+25.0%
5.6%SEK 75.00SEK 67.00SEK 45.002
Sep ’24SEK 58.20
SEK 71.00
+22.0%
5.6%SEK 75.00SEK 67.00SEK 48.502
Aug ’24SEK 54.20
SEK 57.50
+6.1%
4.3%SEK 60.00SEK 55.00SEK 57.402
Jul ’24SEK 49.60
SEK 57.50
+15.9%
4.3%SEK 60.00SEK 55.00SEK 53.002
Jun ’24SEK 52.20
SEK 57.50
+10.2%
4.3%SEK 60.00SEK 55.00SEK 61.202
Feb ’24SEK 49.95
SEK 49.50
-0.9%
1.0%SEK 50.00SEK 49.00SEK 69.002
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
SEK 60.00
Fair Value
15.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/16 08:22
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/14 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

RugVista Group AB (publ) is covered by 2 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Emanuel JanssonDanske Bank