Lyko Group Valuation
Is LYKO A undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of LYKO A when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: LYKO A (SEK88.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SEK80.37)
Significantly Below Fair Value: LYKO A is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LYKO A?
Key metric: As LYKO A is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is LYKO A's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.4x |
| Sales | SEK 3.42b |
| Market Cap | SEK 1.38b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 21.3x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does LYKO A's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 0.7x | ||
HAYPP Haypp Group | 0.6x | 16.8% | SEK 1.9b |
BOKUS Bokusgruppen | 0.4x | 5.6% | SEK 725.2m |
SYNSAM Synsam | 1x | 8.9% | SEK 6.3b |
SODER Söder Sportfiske | 0.9x | n/a | SEK 217.7m |
LYKO A Lyko Group | 0.4x | 13.4% | SEK 1.4b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LYKO A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does LYKO A's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Specialty Retail Industry?
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LYKO A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the Swedish Specialty Retail industry average (0.5x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is LYKO A's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.4x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.7x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LYKO A is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | SEK 88.50 | SEK 102.50 +15.8% | 19.7% | SEK 135.00 | SEK 80.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’25 | SEK 102.80 | SEK 105.50 +2.6% | 19.4% | SEK 135.00 | SEK 80.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’25 | SEK 115.80 | SEK 110.50 -4.6% | 16.6% | SEK 140.00 | SEK 95.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’25 | SEK 115.20 | SEK 110.50 -4.1% | 16.6% | SEK 140.00 | SEK 95.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’25 | SEK 117.80 | SEK 100.67 -14.5% | 8.0% | SEK 112.00 | SEK 95.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’25 | SEK 118.00 | SEK 105.00 -11.0% | 13.5% | SEK 125.00 | SEK 95.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’25 | SEK 129.60 | SEK 110.00 -15.1% | 19.3% | SEK 140.00 | SEK 95.00 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’25 | SEK 118.00 | SEK 110.00 -6.8% | 19.3% | SEK 140.00 | SEK 95.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | SEK 144.00 | SEK 116.00 -19.4% | 7.3% | SEK 128.00 | SEK 110.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | SEK 111.60 | SEK 108.33 -2.9% | 2.2% | SEK 110.00 | SEK 105.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | SEK 107.00 | SEK 111.67 +4.4% | 2.1% | SEK 115.00 | SEK 110.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Jan ’25 | SEK 106.80 | SEK 113.33 +6.1% | 2.1% | SEK 115.00 | SEK 110.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’24 | SEK 102.20 | SEK 113.33 +10.9% | 2.1% | SEK 115.00 | SEK 110.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | SEK 93.00 | SEK 121.67 +30.8% | 7.7% | SEK 135.00 | SEK 115.00 | SEK 102.80 | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | SEK 110.80 | SEK 136.67 +23.3% | 10.5% | SEK 155.00 | SEK 120.00 | SEK 115.80 | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | SEK 126.20 | SEK 156.67 +24.1% | 4.0% | SEK 165.00 | SEK 150.00 | SEK 115.20 | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | SEK 150.80 | SEK 156.67 +3.9% | 4.0% | SEK 165.00 | SEK 150.00 | SEK 117.80 | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | SEK 152.00 | SEK 180.00 +18.4% | 2.3% | SEK 185.00 | SEK 175.00 | SEK 118.00 | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | SEK 156.00 | SEK 186.67 +19.7% | 7.0% | SEK 205.00 | SEK 175.00 | SEK 129.60 | 3 |
| May ’24 | SEK 167.80 | SEK 186.67 +11.2% | 7.0% | SEK 205.00 | SEK 175.00 | SEK 118.00 | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | SEK 160.00 | SEK 186.67 +16.7% | 10.8% | SEK 215.00 | SEK 170.00 | SEK 144.00 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | SEK 163.40 | SEK 196.67 +20.4% | 8.4% | SEK 215.00 | SEK 175.00 | SEK 111.60 | 3 |
| Feb ’24 | SEK 172.60 | SEK 174.00 +0.8% | 14.9% | SEK 210.00 | SEK 150.00 | SEK 107.00 | 3 |
| Jan ’24 | SEK 155.00 | SEK 150.67 -2.8% | 12.1% | SEK 165.00 | SEK 125.00 | SEK 106.80 | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | SEK 139.80 | SEK 216.00 +54.5% | 47.1% | SEK 358.00 | SEK 125.00 | SEK 102.20 | 3 |
| Nov ’23 | SEK 157.40 | SEK 216.00 +37.2% | 47.1% | SEK 358.00 | SEK 125.00 | SEK 93.00 | 3 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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