Board Change • May 26
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 3 non-independent directors. Independent Chairman of the Board Kenneth Bengtsson was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2018. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. New Risk • May 15
New minor risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: kr935.4m (US$99.1m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.9x net interest cover). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (kr935.4m market cap, or US$99.1m). Price Target Changed • Apr 29
Price target increased by 33% to kr77.00 Up from kr58.00, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is 14% above last closing price of kr67.40. Stock is down 45% over the past year. The company posted a net loss per share of kr0.20 last year. New Risk • Apr 29
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 5.8% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.8x net interest cover). Earnings have declined by 5.8% per year over the past 5 years. Major Estimate Revision • Apr 22
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 expected loss increased from -kr0.283 to -kr0.327 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged at kr4.19b. Specialty Retail industry in Sweden expected to see average net income growth of 27% next year. Consensus price target down from kr63.33 to kr58.00. Share price rose 23% to kr76.20 over the past week. Announcement • Apr 17
Lyko Group AB (publ) to Report Q1, 2026 Results on Apr 28, 2026 Lyko Group AB (publ) announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results at 7:00 AM, Central European Standard Time on Apr 28, 2026 Major Estimate Revision • Apr 15
Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded. The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from kr4.29b to kr4.21b. Now expected to report a loss of kr0.28 per share instead of kr2.74 per share profit previously forecast. Specialty Retail industry in Sweden expected to see average net income growth of 30% next year. Consensus price target of kr63.33 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at kr61.80 over the past week. New Risk • Mar 30
New minor risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$100m. Market cap: kr955.3m (US$100.0m) This is considered a minor risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.8x net interest cover). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (kr955.3m market cap, or US$100.0m). New Risk • Mar 25
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Swedish stocks, typically moving 9.1% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Interest payments are not well covered by earnings (0.8x net interest cover). Minor Risk Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (9.1% average weekly change). Reported Earnings • Feb 16
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: kr0.20 loss per share (down from kr1.37 profit in FY 2024). Revenue: kr3.98b (up 12% from FY 2024). Net loss: kr3.00m (down 114% from profit in FY 2024). Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 8.7% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 2.6% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 2% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 24% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Major Estimate Revision • Feb 03
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 30%, revenue upgraded The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 revenue forecast increased from kr3.89b to kr3.97b. EPS estimate fell from kr1.84 to kr1.28 per share. Net income forecast to shrink 28% next year vs 29% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden . Consensus price target down from kr109 to kr100. Share price fell 28% to kr81.60 over the past week. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 29
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 21% After last week's 21% share price decline to kr93.50, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 21x. Average forward P/E is 18x in the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Total loss to shareholders of 47% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at kr172 per share. Major Estimate Revision • Jan 23
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate fell from kr2.25 to kr1.88 per share. Revenue forecast steady at kr3.89b. Net income forecast to grow 24% next year vs 32% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target down from kr134 to kr109. Share price fell 13% to kr113 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Nov 22
Price target decreased by 8.6% to kr134 Down from kr147, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of kr133. Stock is up 55% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr2.25 for next year compared to kr1.37 last year. Price Target Changed • Oct 28
Price target decreased by 9.9% to kr137 Down from kr152, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 10% above last closing price of kr124. Stock is up 18% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr2.33 for next year compared to kr1.37 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Oct 27
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to kr121, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 32x. Average forward P/E is 20x in the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Total loss to shareholders of 20% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at kr161 per share. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 15
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 19% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate fell from kr4.46 to kr3.63 per share. Revenue forecast steady at kr3.97b. Net income forecast to grow 19% next year vs 38% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target down from kr152 to kr147. Share price fell 4.1% to kr136 over the past week. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 13
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 1.6% to kr137. The fair value is estimated to be kr175, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 28% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 94% in the next 2 years. Announcement • Oct 06
Lyko Group AB (publ), Annual General Meeting, May 04, 2026 Lyko Group AB (publ), Annual General Meeting, May 04, 2026. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 16
Now 23% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 18% to kr135. The fair value is estimated to be kr174, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 29% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 95% in the next 2 years. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Sep 01
Now 24% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 9.1% to kr132. The fair value is estimated to be kr173, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 29% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 95% in the next 2 years. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Aug 15
Now 20% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 17% to kr139. The fair value is estimated to be kr175, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 29% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 91% in the next 2 years. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 29
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 8.8% to kr134. The fair value is estimated to be kr170, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 22%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 29% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 91% in the next 2 years. Reported Earnings • Jul 20
Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: kr0.87 (up from kr0.47 loss in 2Q 2024). Revenue: kr944.3m (up 7.4% from 2Q 2024). Net income: kr13.3m (up kr20.5m from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 1.4% (up from net loss in 2Q 2024). The move to profitability was driven by higher revenue. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.6%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 160%. Revenue is forecast to grow 13% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.0% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 22% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 11% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Price Target Changed • Jul 09
Price target increased by 7.4% to kr142 Up from kr132, the current price target is an average from 4 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of kr140. Stock is up 28% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr3.62 for next year compared to kr1.37 last year. Major Estimate Revision • May 08
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 27% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate fell from kr5.17 to kr3.76 per share. Revenue forecast steady at kr4.09b. Net income forecast to grow 174% next year vs 41% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at kr132. Share price fell 6.0% to kr115 over the past week. Board Change • Apr 30
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 3 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 3 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Director Carl-Mikael Lindholm was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Announcement • Apr 29
Lyko Group AB (publ) Elects Isabelle Ducellier as New Board Member, Effective 28 April 2025 Lyko Group AB (publ) at its Annual General Meeting held on 28 April 2025, approved to elect Isabelle Ducellier as a new board member. Announcement • Apr 10
Lyko Group AB (publ) to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 25, 2025 Lyko Group AB (publ) announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results at 7:00 AM, Central European Standard Time on Apr 25, 2025 Reported Earnings • Apr 02
Full year 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Full year 2024 results: EPS: kr1.37 (down from kr2.09 in FY 2023). Revenue: kr3.57b (up 16% from FY 2023). Net income: kr21.0m (down 34% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 0.6% (down from 1.0% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.5% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 25% per year whereas the company’s share price has fallen by 21% per year. Major Estimate Revision • Mar 09
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 EPS estimate fell from kr4.91 to kr4.18 per share. Revenue forecast steady at kr4.12b. Net income forecast to grow 204% next year vs 37% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target up from kr122 to kr130. Share price was steady at kr127 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Feb 15
Full year 2024 earnings released: EPS: kr1.37 (vs kr2.09 in FY 2023) Full year 2024 results: EPS: kr1.37 (down from kr2.09 in FY 2023). Revenue: kr3.58b (up 17% from FY 2023). Net income: kr21.0m (down 34% from FY 2023). Profit margin: 0.6% (down from 1.0% in FY 2023). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 12% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.4% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 25% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 19% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Price Target Changed • Feb 13
Price target increased by 9.3% to kr129 Up from kr118, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 11% above last closing price of kr116. Stock is up 10% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of kr0.93 compared to earnings per share of kr2.09 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 13
Now 34% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 34% to kr116. The fair value is estimated to be kr86.39, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Price Target Changed • Jan 14
Price target increased by 8.1% to kr114 Up from kr106, the current price target is an average from 5 analysts. New target price is 27% above last closing price of kr89.90. Stock is down 18% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of kr1.03 compared to earnings per share of kr2.09 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Dec 30
Now 20% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 16% to kr97.10. The fair value is estimated to be kr80.83, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Dec 04
Now 20% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 22% to kr96.30. The fair value is estimated to be kr80.09, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Announcement • Nov 21
Lyko Group AB (publ), Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2025 Lyko Group AB (publ), Annual General Meeting, Apr 28, 2025. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Nov 07
Now 21% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 18% to kr94.80. The fair value is estimated to be kr78.53, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Reported Earnings • Oct 20
Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Third quarter 2024 results: kr0.63 loss per share (down from kr0.44 profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue: kr769.0m (up 9.1% from 3Q 2023). Net loss: kr9.70m (down 243% from profit in 3Q 2023). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 7.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 17% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.3% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 39% per year but the company’s share price has only fallen by 25% per year, which means it has not declined as severely as earnings. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Oct 20
Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 12% to kr109. The fair value is estimated to be kr142, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 11
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate fell from kr0.627 to kr0.559 per share. Revenue forecast steady at kr3.63b. Net income forecast to grow 20% next year vs 30% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target of kr111 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 7.7% to kr126 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Sep 20
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate fell from kr0.743 to kr0.627 per share. Revenue forecast steady at kr3.64b. Net income forecast to grow 26% next year vs 30% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target of kr111 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 4.6% to kr116 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Aug 29
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from kr0.269 to kr0.305. Revenue forecast steady at kr3.64b. Net income forecast to grow 1.7% next year vs 32% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target of kr111 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 6.3% to kr116 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Jul 21
Price target decreased by 8.5% to kr101 Down from kr110, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 17% below last closing price of kr121. Stock is down 19% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr0.35 for next year compared to kr2.09 last year. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 19
Now 17% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 1.9% to kr130. The fair value is estimated to be kr156, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 18% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 23%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 37% in 2 years. Earnings are forecast to grow by 246% in the next 2 years. Major Estimate Revision • Jul 19
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 25% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from kr0.24 to kr0.301. Revenue forecast steady at kr3.63b. Net income forecast to grow 4.9% next year vs 32% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target of kr105 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 18% to kr130 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Jul 05
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate fell from kr0.301 to kr0.24 per share. Revenue forecast steady at kr3.62b. Net income forecast to shrink 88% next year vs 34% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden . Consensus price target of kr105 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 2.6% to kr114 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Jun 13
Consensus EPS estimates fall from profit to kr0.24 loss The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. Expected to report loss instead of -kr0.237 instead of kr2.15 per share profit previously forecast. Revenue forecast unchanged at kr3.62b Specialty Retail industry in Sweden expected to see average net income growth of 35% next year. Consensus price target down from kr110 to kr105. Share price rose 3.2% to kr124 over the past week. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 04
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16% After last week's 16% share price decline to kr122, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 76x. Average forward P/E is 16x in the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Total loss to shareholders of 61% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at kr89.39 per share. Price Target Changed • Apr 30
Price target decreased by 13% to kr110 Down from kr126, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 6.8% below last closing price of kr118. Stock is down 30% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr4.54 for next year compared to kr2.09 last year. Major Estimate Revision • Apr 26
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from kr3.10 to kr3.44. Revenue forecast steady at kr3.59b. Net income forecast to grow 65% next year vs 42% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target down from kr126 to kr121. Share price was steady at kr126 over the past week. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Apr 24
Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise Over the last 90 days, the stock has risen 22% to kr131. The fair value is estimated to be kr108, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has declined by 6.0%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 15% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 25% per annum over the same time period. Price Target Changed • Mar 24
Price target increased by 7.1% to kr116 Up from kr108, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 17% below last closing price of kr140. Stock is down 7.0% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr3.24 for next year compared to kr2.09 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Mar 18
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18% After last week's 18% share price gain to kr127, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 39x. Average forward P/E is 15x in the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Total loss to shareholders of 53% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at kr66.70 per share. Reported Earnings • Feb 18
Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations Full year 2023 results: EPS: kr2.09 (up from kr1.52 in FY 2022). Revenue: kr3.05b (up 23% from FY 2022). Net income: kr32.0m (up 38% from FY 2022). Profit margin: 1.0% (up from 0.9% in FY 2022). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) surpassed analyst estimates by 1.7%. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 3.7% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 6% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 29% per year, which means it is performing significantly worse than earnings. Price Target Changed • Oct 19
Price target decreased by 13% to kr123 Down from kr142, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 13% above last closing price of kr109. Stock is down 6.8% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr2.36 for next year compared to kr1.52 last year. New Risk • Jul 21
New major risk - Financial position The company's interest payments are not well covered by earnings. Net interest cover: 3.0x This is considered a major risk. If the company is unable to fund interest repayments on its debt through profits, it may be forced into reducing its debt burden through selling assets, undertaking a potentially costly capital raising or even into bankruptcy in the worst case scenario. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Reported Earnings • Jul 20
Second quarter 2023 earnings released Second quarter 2023 results: Revenue: kr732.6m (up 20% from 2Q 2022). Net income: kr0 (down kr5.50m from profit in 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 0% (down from 0.9% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.4% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 26% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 20% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Price Target Changed • Jul 19
Price target decreased by 8.3% to kr165 Down from kr180, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 8.1% above last closing price of kr153. Stock is down 24% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr2.88 for next year compared to kr1.52 last year. Major Estimate Revision • Apr 02
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2023 has been updated. 2023 EPS estimate increased from kr3.87 to kr4.28. Revenue forecast steady at kr2.80b. Net income forecast to grow 182% next year vs 15% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target down from kr197 to kr187. Share price rose 6.0% to kr160 over the past week. Buying Opportunity • Feb 21
Now 22% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 18%. The fair value is estimated to be kr214, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 25% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 34%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 14% per annum. Earnings is also forecast to grow by 47% per annum over the same time period. Major Estimate Revision • Jan 27
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2022 has been updated. 2022 EPS estimate fell from kr1.77 to kr1.57 per share. Revenue forecast steady at kr2.50b. Net income forecast to grow 424% next year vs 0.9% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target up from kr159 to kr174. Share price was steady at kr188 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Jan 26
Price target increased by 15% to kr174 Up from kr151, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 6.9% below last closing price of kr187. Stock is down 33% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr1.57 for next year compared to kr3.09 last year. Buying Opportunity • Dec 28
Now 21% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 15%. The fair value is estimated to be kr184, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 27% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 39%. Revenue is forecast to grow by 24% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to grow by 733% in the next 2 years. Price Target Changed • Dec 22
Price target decreased to kr151 Down from kr223, the current price target is an average from 3 analysts. New target price is 11% above last closing price of kr136. Stock is down 64% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of kr1.69 for next year compared to kr3.09 last year. Board Change • Nov 16
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 2 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 2 independent directors. 4 non-independent directors. Independent Chairman of the Board Kenneth Bengtsson was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2018. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 25
Consensus forecasts updated The consensus outlook for 2022 has been updated. 2022 EPS estimate increased from kr0.81 to kr1.53. Revenue forecast steady at kr2.55b. Net income forecast to grow 483% next year vs 3.1% growth forecast for Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Consensus price target down from kr223 to kr216. Share price was steady at kr119 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Oct 20
Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Third quarter 2022 results: EPS: kr0.97 (up from kr0.74 in 3Q 2021). Revenue: kr566.0m (up 17% from 3Q 2021). Net income: kr14.8m (up 30% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 2.6% (up from 2.3% in 3Q 2021). Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 76%. Revenue is forecast to grow 19% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 4.2% growth forecast for the Specialty Retail industry in Sweden. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 39% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 19% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • Sep 15
Lyko Group AB (publ) (OM:LYKO A) acquired 10% stake in Eyracure. Lyko Group AB (publ) (OM:LYKO A) acquired 10% stake in Eyracure on September 14, 2022.Lyko Group AB (publ) (OM:LYKO A) completed the acquisition of 10% stake in Eyracure on September 14, 2022.