Stock Analysis

Earnings Tell The Story For Lyko Group AB (publ) (STO:LYKO A) As Its Stock Soars 28%

OM:LYKO A
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Lyko Group AB (publ) (STO:LYKO A) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 16% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, Lyko Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 63.6x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Sweden, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 21x and even P/E's below 13x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Lyko Group has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Lyko Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:LYKO A Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 22nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lyko Group.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Lyko Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 38% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 183% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 31% per year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 19% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Lyko Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Lyko Group's P/E?

Shares in Lyko Group have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Lyko Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Lyko Group that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Lyko Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lyko Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.