Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For CDON AB (STO:CDON) Underpins Stock's 27% Plummet

OM:CDON
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, CDON AB (STO:CDON) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 62% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, CDON may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -9.1x, since almost half of all companies in Sweden have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 35x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at CDON over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for CDON

pe-multiple-vs-industry
OM:CDON Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 14th 2023
Although there are no analyst estimates available for CDON, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is CDON's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as CDON's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 44% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

In light of this, it's understandable that CDON's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in CDON have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that CDON maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for CDON that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than CDON. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.