Bilia AB (publ) (STO:BILI A) will pay a dividend of SEK1.40 on the 12th of January. Despite the cut, the dividend yield of 4.5% will still be comparable to other companies in the industry.
Bilia's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like a dividend to be consistent over the long term, so checking whether it is sustainable is important. Prior to this announcement, Bilia's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 254% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows can expose the business to needing to cut the dividend if the business runs into some challenges.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 65.7%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 46% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
See our latest analysis for Bilia
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from SEK3.00 total annually to SEK5.60. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 6.4% per annum over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. It's not great to see that Bilia's earnings per share has fallen at approximately 3.2% per year over the past five years. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.
Bilia's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Bilia that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Bilia not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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