Stock Analysis
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- OM:GENO
The three-year underlying earnings growth at Genovis AB (publ.) (STO:GENO) is promising, but the shareholders are still in the red over that time
Genovis AB (publ.) (STO:GENO) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 13% in the last month. But that is small recompense for the exasperating returns over three years. In that time, the share price dropped 62%. So it is really good to see an improvement. The rise has some hopeful, but turnarounds are often precarious.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
Check out our latest analysis for Genovis AB (publ.)
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Genovis AB (publ.) actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 35% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
Revenue is actually up 15% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Genovis AB (publ.) further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. If you are thinking of buying or selling Genovis AB (publ.) stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Genovis AB (publ.) had a tough year, with a total loss of 51%, against a market gain of about 17%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Genovis AB (publ.) better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Genovis AB (publ.) that you should be aware of.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Swedish exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:GENO
Genovis AB (publ.)
Develops and sells tools for the development of new treatment methods and diagnostics for customers in the pharmaceutical and research industries.