Storytel Valuation

Is STORY B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STORY B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STORY B (SEK61.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK212.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STORY B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STORY B?

Key metric: As STORY B is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for STORY B. This is calculated by dividing STORY B's market cap by their current revenue.
What is STORY B's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesSEK 3.72b
Market CapSEK 4.72b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does STORY B's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for STORY B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
VPLAY B Viaplay Group
0.2x-0.5%SEK 3.0b
RLVNC Relevance Communication Nordic
1.2xn/aSEK 35.0m
SF Stillfront Group
0.5x-1.3%SEK 3.4b
MTG B Modern Times Group MTG
1.8x4.1%SEK 10.8b
STORY B Storytel
1.3x9.4%SEK 4.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: STORY B is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does STORY B's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Media Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
STORY B 1.3xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies23PS00.61.21.82.43+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: STORY B is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the European Media industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STORY B's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STORY B PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: STORY B is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STORY B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 61.20
SEK 95.00
+55.2%
15.8%SEK 110.00SEK 80.00n/a2
Nov ’25SEK 66.30
SEK 95.00
+43.3%
15.8%SEK 110.00SEK 80.00n/a2
Oct ’25SEK 52.80
SEK 89.00
+68.6%
12.4%SEK 100.00SEK 78.00n/a2
Sep ’25SEK 51.05
SEK 87.50
+71.4%
8.6%SEK 95.00SEK 80.00n/a2
Aug ’25SEK 61.90
SEK 87.50
+41.4%
8.6%SEK 95.00SEK 80.00n/a2
Jul ’25SEK 54.65
SEK 73.33
+34.2%
28.6%SEK 95.00SEK 45.00n/a3
Jun ’25SEK 54.00
SEK 73.67
+36.4%
28.6%SEK 95.00SEK 45.00n/a3
May ’25SEK 50.50
SEK 71.67
+41.9%
28.7%SEK 95.00SEK 45.00n/a3
Apr ’25SEK 52.00
SEK 71.67
+37.8%
28.7%SEK 95.00SEK 45.00n/a3
Mar ’25SEK 58.50
SEK 71.67
+22.5%
28.7%SEK 95.00SEK 45.00n/a3
Feb ’25SEK 45.84
SEK 66.00
+44.0%
24.8%SEK 85.00SEK 45.00n/a3
Jan ’25SEK 40.26
SEK 66.00
+63.9%
24.8%SEK 85.00SEK 45.00n/a3
Dec ’24SEK 37.86
SEK 66.00
+74.3%
24.8%SEK 85.00SEK 45.00n/a3
Nov ’24SEK 32.80
SEK 66.00
+101.2%
24.8%SEK 85.00SEK 45.00SEK 66.303
Oct ’24SEK 30.06
SEK 66.33
+120.7%
23.0%SEK 80.00SEK 45.00SEK 52.803
Sep ’24SEK 32.94
SEK 66.33
+101.4%
23.0%SEK 80.00SEK 45.00SEK 51.053
Aug ’24SEK 38.60
SEK 69.67
+80.5%
21.0%SEK 85.00SEK 50.00SEK 61.903
Jul ’24SEK 33.30
SEK 69.67
+109.2%
21.0%SEK 85.00SEK 50.00SEK 54.653
Jun ’24SEK 35.72
SEK 69.00
+93.2%
20.9%SEK 85.00SEK 50.00SEK 54.003
May ’24SEK 39.22
SEK 73.33
+87.0%
17.9%SEK 85.00SEK 55.00SEK 50.503
Apr ’24SEK 35.51
SEK 80.67
+127.2%
24.1%SEK 102.00SEK 55.00SEK 52.003
Mar ’24SEK 42.98
SEK 80.67
+87.7%
24.1%SEK 102.00SEK 55.00SEK 58.503
Feb ’24SEK 53.20
SEK 89.33
+67.9%
19.3%SEK 103.00SEK 65.00SEK 45.843
Jan ’24SEK 44.23
SEK 94.00
+112.5%
24.8%SEK 122.00SEK 65.00SEK 40.263
Dec ’23SEK 45.23
SEK 94.00
+107.8%
24.8%SEK 122.00SEK 65.00SEK 37.863
Nov ’23SEK 39.90
SEK 114.00
+185.7%
18.6%SEK 135.00SEK 85.00SEK 32.803

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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