Modern Times Group MTG AB (publ)

OM:MTG B Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 9.0b

Modern Times Group MTG Valuation

Is MTG B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTG B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTG B (SEK75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK105.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTG B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTG B?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MTG B key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.1x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MTG B's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MTG B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.2x
PDX Paradox Interactive
6.9x9.1%SEK 17.1b
SF Stillfront Group
0.5x0.4%SEK 3.5b
EMBRAC B Embracer Group
0.8x3.3%SEK 32.8b
EG7 Enad Global 7
0.7x15.5%SEK 1.3b
MTG B Modern Times Group MTG
1.5x4.1%SEK 9.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MTG B is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the peer average (2.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTG B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SE Entertainment Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a80.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a80.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MTG B is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the Swedish Entertainment industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTG B's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTG B PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.5x
Fair PS Ratio2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MTG B is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTG B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 75.00
SEK 122.20
+62.9%
13.9%SEK 155.00SEK 108.00n/a5
Sep ’25SEK 77.15
SEK 122.20
+58.4%
13.9%SEK 155.00SEK 108.00n/a5
Aug ’25SEK 80.50
SEK 122.20
+51.8%
13.9%SEK 155.00SEK 108.00n/a5
Jul ’25SEK 83.45
SEK 120.00
+43.8%
7.4%SEK 135.00SEK 110.00n/a5
Jun ’25SEK 93.50
SEK 118.80
+27.1%
9.5%SEK 135.00SEK 100.00n/a5
May ’25SEK 94.95
SEK 118.80
+25.1%
9.5%SEK 135.00SEK 100.00n/a5
Apr ’25SEK 83.60
SEK 113.00
+35.2%
11.7%SEK 135.00SEK 100.00n/a4
Mar ’25SEK 74.25
SEK 113.00
+52.2%
11.7%SEK 135.00SEK 100.00n/a4
Feb ’25SEK 81.05
SEK 108.75
+34.2%
14.3%SEK 135.00SEK 95.00n/a4
Jan ’25SEK 86.15
SEK 108.75
+26.2%
11.9%SEK 130.00SEK 95.00n/a4
Dec ’24SEK 87.00
SEK 108.75
+25.0%
11.9%SEK 130.00SEK 95.00n/a4
Nov ’24SEK 89.95
SEK 108.75
+20.9%
11.9%SEK 130.00SEK 95.00n/a4
Oct ’24SEK 73.90
SEK 103.75
+40.4%
15.0%SEK 130.00SEK 90.00n/a4
Sep ’24SEK 76.10
SEK 103.75
+36.3%
15.0%SEK 130.00SEK 90.00SEK 77.154
Aug ’24SEK 69.25
SEK 103.75
+49.8%
15.0%SEK 130.00SEK 90.00SEK 80.504
Jul ’24SEK 68.75
SEK 102.25
+48.7%
16.5%SEK 130.00SEK 85.00SEK 83.454
Jun ’24SEK 69.75
SEK 102.25
+46.6%
16.5%SEK 130.00SEK 85.00SEK 93.504
May ’24SEK 82.35
SEK 102.25
+24.2%
16.5%SEK 130.00SEK 85.00SEK 94.954
Apr ’24SEK 75.28
SEK 103.00
+36.8%
15.8%SEK 130.00SEK 87.00SEK 83.604
Mar ’24SEK 71.70
SEK 103.00
+43.7%
15.8%SEK 130.00SEK 87.00SEK 74.254
Feb ’24SEK 91.70
SEK 112.50
+22.7%
9.7%SEK 130.00SEK 100.00SEK 81.054
Jan ’24SEK 89.10
SEK 120.50
+35.2%
9.6%SEK 140.00SEK 110.00SEK 86.154
Dec ’23SEK 82.41
SEK 120.50
+46.2%
9.6%SEK 140.00SEK 110.00SEK 87.004
Nov ’23SEK 84.51
SEK 120.50
+42.6%
9.6%SEK 140.00SEK 110.00SEK 89.954
Oct ’23SEK 73.91
SEK 129.50
+75.2%
8.4%SEK 140.00SEK 115.00SEK 73.904
Sep ’23SEK 89.80
SEK 129.50
+44.2%
8.4%SEK 140.00SEK 115.00SEK 76.104

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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