Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes MAG Interactive AB (publ) (STO:MAGI) Following 27% Share Price Slump

OM:MAGI
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The MAG Interactive AB (publ) (STO:MAGI) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 45% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that MAG Interactive's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Entertainment industry in Sweden, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for MAG Interactive

ps-multiple-vs-industry
OM:MAGI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

How MAG Interactive Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at MAG Interactive over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on MAG Interactive's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is MAG Interactive's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like MAG Interactive's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.8%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 43% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.1%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

In light of this, it's curious that MAG Interactive's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From MAG Interactive's P/S?

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for MAG Interactive looks to be in line with the rest of the Entertainment industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that MAG Interactive currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for MAG Interactive that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.