Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, OrganoClick AB (publ) (STO:ORGC) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for OrganoClick
What Is OrganoClick's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that OrganoClick had debt of kr23.7m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from kr42.6m over a year. However, it also had kr9.65m in cash, and so its net debt is kr14.0m.
How Strong Is OrganoClick's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that OrganoClick had liabilities of kr86.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr14.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr9.65m and kr28.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling kr62.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given OrganoClick has a market capitalization of kr342.8m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With debt at a measly 0.0015 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 2k times, it's clear that OrganoClick is not a desperate borrower. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. Although OrganoClick made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated kr9.2b in EBIT over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine OrganoClick's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Considering the last year, OrganoClick actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
Our View
OrganoClick's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its net debt to EBITDA. In contrast, our confidence was undermined by its apparent struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that OrganoClick is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for OrganoClick that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:ORGC
OrganoClick
A green chemical company, develops, manufactures, and sells biobased chemical products for the treatment of technical textile, nonwoven, and wood in Sweden, Other Nordics, The Rest of Europe, Asia, and North America.
Reasonable growth potential very low.