If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Gränges (STO:GRNG), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Gränges, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.093 = kr1.1b ÷ (kr19b - kr7.3b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Thus, Gränges has an ROCE of 9.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 23%.
View our latest analysis for Gränges
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Gränges compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Gränges doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 15%, but since then they've fallen to 9.3%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a side note, Gränges' current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 38% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 9.3%. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
The Key Takeaway
While returns have fallen for Gränges in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 22% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.
Gränges does have some risks, we noticed 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OM:GRNG
Gränges
Engages in the development, production, and distribution of rolled aluminum products for thermal management systems, specialty packaging, and niche applications in Europe, Asia, and the Americas.
Flawless balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.