Stock Analysis

Here's Why Maha Energy (STO:MAHA A) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

OM:MAHA A
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Maha Energy AB (publ) (STO:MAHA A) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Maha Energy

What Is Maha Energy's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Maha Energy had US$55.5m of debt, up from US$36.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$25.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$29.9m.

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OM:MAHA A Debt to Equity History March 2nd 2022

A Look At Maha Energy's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Maha Energy had liabilities of US$27.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$49.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$25.5m and US$5.95m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$45.2m.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Maha Energy has a market capitalization of US$177.4m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Maha Energy's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.63 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.9 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. We also note that Maha Energy improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive US$39m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Maha Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Maha Energy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Maha Energy's struggle to convert EBIT to free cash flow had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example its net debt to EBITDA was refreshing. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Maha Energy's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Maha Energy (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.