The board of EQT AB (publ) (STO:EQT) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 5th of December, with investors receiving €1.80 per share. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.0% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.
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EQT's Projections Indicate Future Payments May Be Unsustainable
It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Before making this announcement, EQT's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.
EPS is forecast to rise very quickly over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we could see the payout ratio reach 276%, which is on the unsustainable side.
EQT's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Looking back, the company hasn't been paying the most consistent dividend, but with such a short dividend history it could be too early to draw solid conclusions. Since 2020, the annual payment back then was €0.206, compared to the most recent full-year payment of €0.306. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 10% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. However, EQT has only grown its earnings per share at 2.4% per annum over the past five years. The company is paying out a lot of its profits, even though it is growing those profits pretty slowly. Limited recent earnings growth and a high payout ratio makes it hard for us to envision strong future dividend growth, unless the company should have substantial pricing power or some form of competitive advantage.
Our Thoughts On EQT's Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think EQT's payments are rock solid. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think EQT is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for EQT that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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About OM:EQT
EQT
A global private equity firm specializing in private capital and real asset segments.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.