Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Bodyflight Sweden AB (publ) (NGM:BODY) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Bodyflight Sweden
How Much Debt Does Bodyflight Sweden Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Bodyflight Sweden had kr24.5m in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had kr1.60m in cash, and so its net debt is kr22.9m.
A Look At Bodyflight Sweden's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Bodyflight Sweden had liabilities of kr21.2m due within a year, and liabilities of kr32.4m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had kr1.60m in cash and kr943.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr51.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the kr29.7m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Bodyflight Sweden would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Bodyflight Sweden has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.89 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.3 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. If Bodyflight Sweden can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 14% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bodyflight Sweden will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Bodyflight Sweden burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Bodyflight Sweden's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at managing its debt, based on its EBITDA,; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Bodyflight Sweden's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Bodyflight Sweden (of which 2 are significant!) you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About NGM:BODY
Bodyflight Sweden
Operates vertical wind tunnel that simulates a parachute jump free fall without having to jump out of an airplane in Sweden.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.