Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This indicates to us that the business is not only shrinking the size of its net assets, but its returns are falling as well. So after glancing at the trends within Björn Borg (STO:BORG), we weren't too hopeful.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Björn Borg, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.011 = kr4.9m ÷ (kr619m - kr154m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, Björn Borg has an ROCE of 1.1%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 1.1%.
See our latest analysis for Björn Borg
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Björn Borg compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Björn Borg here for free.
So How Is Björn Borg's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Björn Borg's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 12% that they were earning five years ago. On top of that, it's worth noting that the amount of capital employed within the business has remained relatively steady. Since returns are falling and the business has the same amount of assets employed, this can suggest it's a mature business that hasn't had much growth in the last five years. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Björn Borg to turn into a multi-bagger.
On a side note, Björn Borg's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 25% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 1.1%. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
The Key Takeaway
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. Investors haven't taken kindly to these developments, since the stock has declined 39% from where it was five years ago. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Björn Borg (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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About OM:BORG
Björn Borg
Engages in the design, development, production, wholesale, and retail of underwear, sports apparel, footwear, bags, eyewear, and fragrances under the Björn Borg brand.
Outstanding track record with excellent balance sheet.