Stock Analysis

Here's Why ITAB Shop Concept (STO:ITAB B) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

OM:ITAB
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that ITAB Shop Concept AB (publ) (STO:ITAB B) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for ITAB Shop Concept

What Is ITAB Shop Concept's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ITAB Shop Concept had debt of kr969.0m at the end of December 2020, a reduction from kr2.05b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr692.0m, its net debt is less, at about kr277.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:ITAB B Debt to Equity History March 8th 2021

How Healthy Is ITAB Shop Concept's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that ITAB Shop Concept had liabilities of kr2.47b due within a year, and liabilities of kr1.32b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr692.0m as well as receivables valued at kr900.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr2.20b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's kr1.56b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

ITAB Shop Concept has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.74 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.0 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Importantly, ITAB Shop Concept's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 44% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is ITAB Shop Concept's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, ITAB Shop Concept actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

On the face of it, ITAB Shop Concept's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, we think it's fair to say that ITAB Shop Concept has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for ITAB Shop Concept (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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