Volati AB (publ) Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Investors in Volati AB (publ) (STO:VOLO) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.4% to close at kr119 following the release of its first-quarter results. Results overall were not great, with earnings of kr0.12 per share falling drastically short of analyst expectations. Meanwhile revenues hit kr2.0b and were slightly better than forecasts. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

We've discovered 1 warning sign about Volati. View them for free.

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Volati from dual analysts is for revenues of kr8.89b in 2025. If met, it would imply a decent 9.4% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 70% to kr4.66. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of kr8.90b and earnings per share (EPS) of kr5.26 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become more bearish following the latest results. While there were no changes to revenue forecasts, there was a real cut to EPS estimates.

View our latest analysis for Volati

It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at kr147, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The period to the end of 2025 brings more of the same, according to the analysts, with revenue forecast to display 13% growth on an annualised basis. That is in line with its 11% annual growth over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenues grow 7.9% per year. So it's pretty clear that Volati is forecast to grow substantially faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At least one analyst has provided forecasts out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Volati that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.