Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Lindab International (STO:LIAB) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

OM:LIAB
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Lindab International AB (publ) (STO:LIAB) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Our analysis indicates that LIAB is potentially undervalued!

What Is Lindab International's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Lindab International had kr2.60b of debt, an increase on kr1.22b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr495.0m, its net debt is less, at about kr2.11b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:LIAB Debt to Equity History November 9th 2022

A Look At Lindab International's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Lindab International had liabilities of kr3.23b falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr3.73b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr495.0m as well as receivables valued at kr2.36b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr4.10b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Lindab International is worth kr9.56b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Lindab International has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.3. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 26.7 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. And we also note warmly that Lindab International grew its EBIT by 16% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Lindab International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Lindab International's free cash flow amounted to 34% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On our analysis Lindab International's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For example, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little nervous about its debt. Considering this range of data points, we think Lindab International is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Lindab International has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.