Stock Analysis

Here's Why Husqvarna (STO:HUSQ B) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

OM:HUSQ B
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Husqvarna AB (publ) (STO:HUSQ B) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Husqvarna

What Is Husqvarna's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 Husqvarna had kr17.2b of debt, an increase on kr11.2b, over one year. However, it does have kr2.57b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about kr14.6b.

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OM:HUSQ B Debt to Equity History June 2nd 2023

How Healthy Is Husqvarna's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Husqvarna had liabilities of kr22.0b falling due within a year, and liabilities of kr17.8b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of kr2.57b and kr11.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by kr26.2b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Husqvarna has a market capitalization of kr47.1b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Husqvarna's net debt of 2.2 times EBITDA suggests graceful use of debt. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 8.7 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Unfortunately, Husqvarna's EBIT flopped 10% over the last four quarters. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Husqvarna's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Husqvarna recorded free cash flow of 34% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Husqvarna's EBIT growth rate and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But we do take some comfort from its interest cover. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Husqvarna's debt poses some risks to the business. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Husqvarna is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.