Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy Bufab AB (publ) (STO:BUFAB)?

OM:BUFAB
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Bufab AB (publ) (STO:BUFAB), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the OM. As a small cap stock, hardly covered by any analysts, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Let’s take a look at Bufab’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Bufab

What's The Opportunity In Bufab?

The stock is currently trading at kr303 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 28% compared to my intrinsic value of SEK237.47. This means that the opportunity to buy Bufab at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Bufab’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Bufab generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
OM:BUFAB Earnings and Revenue Growth November 15th 2023

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by a double-digit 18% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Bufab. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? BUFAB’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe BUFAB should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on BUFAB for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for BUFAB, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Bufab as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Bufab.

If you are no longer interested in Bufab, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.