Bufab AB (publ)

OM:BUFAB Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 16.5b

Bufab Valuation

Is BUFAB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BUFAB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BUFAB (SEK435.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK723.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BUFAB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BUFAB?

Key metric: As BUFAB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BUFAB. This is calculated by dividing BUFAB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BUFAB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.3x
EarningsSEK 511.00m
Market CapSEK 16.52b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BUFAB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BUFAB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33x
OEM B OEM International
26.7xn/aSEK 15.4b
BERG B Bergman & Beving
42.2x18.6%SEK 8.5b
MMGR B Momentum Group
45.6x11.9%SEK 8.6b
ALLIGO B Alligo
17.7x33.4%SEK 6.3b
BUFAB Bufab
32.3x17.2%SEK 16.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BUFAB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x) compared to the peer average (33x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BUFAB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BUFAB 32.3xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BUFAB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (13.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BUFAB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BUFAB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.3x
Fair PE Ratio23.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BUFAB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BUFAB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 435.80
SEK 453.33
+4.0%
7.8%SEK 500.00SEK 415.00n/a3
Dec ’25SEK 408.00
SEK 430.00
+5.4%
3.5%SEK 445.00SEK 415.00n/a2
Nov ’25SEK 374.80
SEK 430.00
+14.7%
3.5%SEK 445.00SEK 415.00n/a2
Oct ’25SEK 360.40
SEK 430.00
+19.3%
3.5%SEK 445.00SEK 415.00n/a2
Sep ’25SEK 434.60
SEK 430.00
-1.1%
3.5%SEK 445.00SEK 415.00n/a2
Aug ’25SEK 436.60
SEK 430.00
-1.5%
3.5%SEK 445.00SEK 415.00n/a2
Jul ’25SEK 390.00
SEK 425.00
+9.0%
4.7%SEK 445.00SEK 405.00n/a2
Jun ’25SEK 385.60
SEK 410.00
+6.3%
8.5%SEK 445.00SEK 375.00n/a2
May ’25SEK 338.60
SEK 410.00
+21.1%
8.5%SEK 445.00SEK 375.00n/a2
Apr ’25SEK 419.80
SEK 417.50
-0.5%
6.6%SEK 445.00SEK 390.00n/a2
Mar ’25SEK 397.80
SEK 417.50
+5.0%
6.6%SEK 445.00SEK 390.00n/a2
Feb ’25SEK 372.40
SEK 402.50
+8.1%
3.1%SEK 415.00SEK 390.00n/a2
Jan ’25SEK 386.40
SEK 357.50
-7.5%
3.5%SEK 370.00SEK 345.00n/a2
Dec ’24SEK 319.80
SEK 357.50
+11.8%
3.5%SEK 370.00SEK 345.00SEK 408.002
Nov ’24SEK 262.20
SEK 372.50
+42.1%
7.4%SEK 400.00SEK 345.00SEK 374.802
Oct ’24SEK 275.80
SEK 387.50
+40.5%
3.2%SEK 400.00SEK 375.00SEK 360.402
Sep ’24SEK 297.80
SEK 387.50
+30.1%
3.2%SEK 400.00SEK 375.00SEK 434.602
Aug ’24SEK 306.80
SEK 387.50
+26.3%
3.2%SEK 400.00SEK 375.00SEK 436.602
Jul ’24SEK 368.80
SEK 415.00
+12.5%
6.0%SEK 440.00SEK 390.00SEK 390.002
Jun ’24SEK 355.80
SEK 410.00
+15.2%
7.3%SEK 440.00SEK 380.00SEK 385.602
May ’24SEK 339.60
SEK 390.00
+14.8%
2.6%SEK 400.00SEK 380.00SEK 338.602
Apr ’24SEK 276.50
SEK 370.00
+33.8%
8.1%SEK 400.00SEK 340.00SEK 419.802
Mar ’24SEK 273.50
SEK 370.00
+35.3%
8.1%SEK 400.00SEK 340.00SEK 397.802
Feb ’24SEK 279.00
SEK 352.50
+26.3%
3.5%SEK 365.00SEK 340.00SEK 372.402
Jan ’24SEK 234.00
SEK 352.50
+50.6%
3.5%SEK 365.00SEK 340.00SEK 386.402
Dec ’23SEK 240.50
SEK 352.50
+46.6%
3.5%SEK 365.00SEK 340.00SEK 319.802

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 01:25
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Bufab AB (publ) is covered by 5 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert RedinCarnegie Investment Bank AB
Frank MaaøDNB Markets
Johan SkoglundDNB Markets