Alligo AB (publ)

OM:ALLIGO B Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 6.7b

Alligo Valuation

Is ALLIGO B undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALLIGO B when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
SEK 472.93
Fair Value
71.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ALLIGO B (SEK133.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK472.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALLIGO B is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALLIGO B?

Key metric: As ALLIGO B is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALLIGO B. This is calculated by dividing ALLIGO B's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALLIGO B's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.3x
EarningsSEK 274.00m
Market CapSEK 6.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALLIGO B's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALLIGO B vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.6x
BERG B Bergman & Beving
39x17.8%SEK 7.9b
MMGR B Momentum Group
44.3x12.7%SEK 7.9b
BUFAB Bufab
29.9x16.8%SEK 16.5b
TEQ Teqnion
29.2xn/aSEK 2.8b
ALLIGO B Alligo
24.3x30.7%SEK 6.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALLIGO B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x) compared to the peer average (35.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALLIGO B's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALLIGO B 24.3xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALLIGO B is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALLIGO B's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALLIGO B PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.3x
Fair PE Ratio31.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALLIGO B is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALLIGO B forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 133.20
SEK 163.50
+22.7%
7.0%SEK 175.00SEK 152.00n/a2
Mar ’26SEK 139.40
SEK 163.50
+17.3%
7.0%SEK 175.00SEK 152.00n/a2
Feb ’26SEK 141.80
SEK 167.50
+18.1%
4.5%SEK 175.00SEK 160.00n/a2
Jan ’26SEK 123.20
SEK 167.50
+36.0%
4.5%SEK 175.00SEK 160.00n/a2
Dec ’25SEK 117.40
SEK 167.50
+42.7%
4.5%SEK 175.00SEK 160.00n/a2
Nov ’25SEK 133.20
SEK 167.50
+25.8%
4.5%SEK 175.00SEK 160.00n/a2
Oct ’25SEK 143.80
SEK 177.50
+23.4%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Sep ’25SEK 139.60
SEK 177.50
+27.1%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Aug ’25SEK 140.00
SEK 177.50
+26.8%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Jul ’25SEK 144.40
SEK 177.50
+22.9%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Jun ’25SEK 144.40
SEK 177.50
+22.9%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
May ’25SEK 129.60
SEK 177.50
+37.0%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Apr ’25SEK 154.00
SEK 177.50
+15.3%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Feb ’25SEK 132.80
SEK 137.50
+3.5%
1.8%SEK 140.00SEK 135.00SEK 141.802
Jan ’25SEK 124.00
SEK 137.50
+10.9%
1.8%SEK 140.00SEK 135.00SEK 123.202
Dec ’24SEK 102.80
SEK 137.50
+33.8%
1.8%SEK 140.00SEK 135.00SEK 117.402
Nov ’24SEK 88.70
SEK 137.50
+55.0%
1.8%SEK 140.00SEK 135.00SEK 133.202
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
SEK 163.50
Fair Value
18.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/17 03:36
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/14 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alligo AB (publ) is covered by 3 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Emanuel JanssonDanske Bank
Karl-Johan BonnevierDNB Markets
Jon HyltnerHandelsbanken Capital Markets