Lumi Rental Valuation

Is 4262 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4262 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow

Simply Wall St

ر.س58.31

Fair Value

30.5% overvalued

Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 4262 (SAR76.1) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR58.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4262 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4262?

Key metric: As 4262 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4262. This is calculated by dividing 4262's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4262's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	26.7x
Earnings	ر.س156.49m
Market Cap	ر.س4.19b

4262 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	4.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	20.2x
PEG Ratio	1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4262's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4262 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	22.8x
4261 Theeb Rent A Car	20.1x	12.1%	ر.س3.4b
4260 United International Transportation	24x	16.3%	ر.س6.7b
9584 Riyal Investment and Development	13.5x	n/a	ر.س231.2m
4031 Saudi Ground Services	33.6x	12.4%	ر.س9.9b
4262 Lumi Rental	26.7x	15.2%	ر.س4.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4262 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the peer average (22.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4262's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Transportation Industry?

5 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

5 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4262 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the Asian Transportation industry average (13.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4262's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4262 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	26.7x
Fair PE Ratio	26x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4262 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4262 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	ر.س76.10	ر.س85.42 +12.2%	5.3%	ر.س92.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	6
Jan ’26	ر.س71.60	ر.س85.42 +19.3%	5.3%	ر.س92.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	6
Dec ’25	ر.س75.70	ر.س87.55 +15.7%	5.7%	ر.س94.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	6
Nov ’25	ر.س76.60	ر.س87.55 +14.3%	5.7%	ر.س94.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	6
Oct ’25	ر.س81.90	ر.س87.55 +6.9%	5.7%	ر.س94.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	6
Sep ’25	ر.س85.00	ر.س87.55 +3.0%	5.7%	ر.س94.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	6
Aug ’25	ر.س92.00	ر.س99.83 +8.5%	14.3%	ر.س120.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	4
Jul ’25	ر.س92.70	ر.س101.33 +9.3%	13.7%	ر.س120.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	4
Jun ’25	ر.س82.90	ر.س101.33 +22.2%	13.7%	ر.س120.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	4
May ’25	ر.س90.30	ر.س101.33 +12.2%	13.7%	ر.س120.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	4
Apr ’25	ر.س91.00	ر.س97.05 +6.6%	13.8%	ر.س120.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	6
Mar ’25	ر.س117.20	ر.س95.60 -18.4%	14.9%	ر.س120.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	5
Feb ’25	ر.س107.80	ر.س95.60 -11.3%	14.9%	ر.س120.00	ر.س81.00	n/a	5
Jan ’25	ر.س101.00	ر.س95.60 -5.3%	14.9%	ر.س120.00	ر.س81.00	ر.س71.60	5
Dec ’24	ر.س95.50	ر.س90.00 -5.8%	9.8%	ر.س102.00	ر.س81.00	ر.س75.70	4
Nov ’24	ر.س92.30	ر.س90.00 -2.5%	9.8%	ر.س102.00	ر.س81.00	ر.س76.60	4
Oct ’24	ر.س91.40	ر.س88.50 -3.2%	7.3%	ر.س95.00	ر.س82.00	ر.س81.90	2

Analyst Price Target

Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts

ر.س85.42

Fair Value

10.9% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/19 19:01
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/19 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lumi Rental Company is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Ahmed AlMutawah	Aljazira Capital Company
Jassim Al-Jubran	Aljazira Capital Company
Mazen Al-Sudairi	Al Rajhi Capital