United International Transportation Valuation
Is 4260 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4260 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4260 (SAR75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SAR75.88)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4260 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4260?
Key metric: As 4260 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 4260's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 21.2x |
| Earnings | ر.س278.75m |
| Market Cap | ر.س5.95b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 11.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.3x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 4260's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 22.1x | ||
4261 Theeb Rent A Car | 19.5x | 16.1% | ر.س3.3b |
4262 Lumi Rental | 25.7x | 18.3% | ر.س4.0b |
9584 Riyal Investment and Development | 12.1x | n/a | ر.س206.4m |
4031 Saudi Ground Services | 31x | 12.5% | ر.س9.1b |
4260 United International Transportation | 21.2x | 16.5% | ر.س5.9b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4260 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the peer average (22.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4260's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Transportation Industry?
| 5 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4260 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the Asian Transportation industry average (13.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4260's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 21.2x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 27.3x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4260 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س75.00 | ر.س97.71 +30.3% | 10.3% | ر.س115.00 | ر.س80.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’25 | ر.س86.00 | ر.س95.71 +11.3% | 11.4% | ر.س115.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’25 | ر.س84.60 | ر.س95.71 +13.1% | 11.4% | ر.س115.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’25 | ر.س90.80 | ر.س95.67 +5.4% | 12.3% | ر.س115.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’25 | ر.س89.40 | ر.س88.00 -1.6% | 11.5% | ر.س100.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’25 | ر.س88.80 | ر.س88.00 -0.9% | 11.5% | ر.س100.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | ر.س75.10 | ر.س85.60 +14.0% | 12.1% | ر.س100.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 5 |
| May ’25 | ر.س84.70 | ر.س85.60 +1.1% | 12.1% | ر.س100.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س86.10 | ر.س81.83 -5.0% | 8.9% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س88.50 | ر.س81.83 -7.5% | 8.9% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س84.00 | ر.س81.83 -2.6% | 8.9% | ر.س95.00 | ر.س75.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س80.90 | ر.س78.33 -3.2% | 6.0% | ر.س88.00 | ر.س74.00 | n/a | 6 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س67.20 | ر.س78.60 +17.0% | 6.5% | ر.س88.00 | ر.س74.00 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س65.00 | ر.س79.62 +22.5% | 7.2% | ر.س88.00 | ر.س74.00 | ر.س86.00 | 5 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س69.80 | ر.س80.78 +15.7% | 7.3% | ر.س88.00 | ر.س74.00 | ر.س84.60 | 4 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س73.60 | ر.س79.28 +7.7% | 9.4% | ر.س88.00 | ر.س70.00 | ر.س90.80 | 4 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س68.60 | ر.س79.28 +15.6% | 9.4% | ر.س88.00 | ر.س70.00 | ر.س89.40 | 4 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س79.28 0% | 9.4% | ر.س88.00 | ر.س70.00 | ر.س88.80 | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | ر.س66.10 | ر.س72.33 +9.4% | 7.5% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س65.30 | ر.س75.10 | 4 |
| May ’24 | ر.س60.50 | ر.س66.68 +10.2% | 15.6% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س52.00 | ر.س84.70 | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | ر.س58.20 | ر.س60.08 +3.2% | 11.3% | ر.س70.00 | ر.س52.00 | ر.س86.10 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س55.60 | ر.س57.48 +3.4% | 8.1% | ر.س66.00 | ر.س52.00 | ر.س88.50 | 5 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س48.50 | ر.س57.40 +18.4% | 8.1% | ر.س66.00 | ر.س52.00 | ر.س84.00 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س45.90 | ر.س59.40 +29.4% | 8.9% | ر.س66.00 | ر.س52.00 | ر.س80.90 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س46.75 | ر.س59.00 +26.2% | 9.4% | ر.س66.00 | ر.س52.00 | ر.س67.20 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س46.15 | ر.س59.00 +27.8% | 9.4% | ر.س66.00 | ر.س52.00 | ر.س65.00 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.