Theeb Rent A Car Valuation
Is 4261 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4261 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4261 (SAR65.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR46.33)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4261 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4261?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4261's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س2.83b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 3.5x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 8.1x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.2x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 4261's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 21.3x | ||
4260 United International Transportation | 21x | 11.4% | ر.س5.8b |
4262 Lumi Rental | 28.8x | 24.8% | ر.س4.6b |
9584 Riyal Investment and Development | 11.3x | n/a | ر.س216.0m |
9577 DAR ALMARKABAH For Renting Cars | 24.1x | n/a | ر.س107.8m |
4261 Theeb Rent A Car | 19.9x | 16.3% | ر.س2.8b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4261 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the peer average (21.3x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4261's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Transportation Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4261 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the Asian Transportation industry average (13.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4261's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 19.9x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 25.5x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4261 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س65.70 | ر.س70.78 +7.7% | 1.2% | ر.س72.10 | ر.س70.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س67.50 | ر.س70.78 +4.9% | 1.2% | ر.س72.10 | ر.س70.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س74.00 | ر.س70.78 -4.4% | 1.2% | ر.س72.10 | ر.س70.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س64.80 | ر.س70.78 +9.2% | 1.2% | ر.س72.10 | ر.س70.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س65.50 | ر.س70.78 +8.1% | 1.2% | ر.س72.10 | ر.س70.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س60.70 | ر.س80.20 +32.1% | 15.3% | ر.س97.50 | ر.س71.00 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | ر.س78.20 | ر.س76.00 -2.8% | 5.3% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س72.00 | ر.س74.00 | 2 |
| Feb ’24 | ر.س68.90 | ر.س76.00 +10.3% | 5.3% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س72.00 | ر.س64.80 | 2 |
| Jan ’24 | ر.س71.20 | ر.س76.00 +6.7% | 5.3% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س72.00 | ر.س65.50 | 2 |
| Dec ’23 | ر.س69.40 | ر.س76.00 +9.5% | 5.3% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س72.00 | ر.س60.70 | 2 |
| Nov ’23 | ر.س70.00 | ر.س76.00 +8.6% | 5.3% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س72.00 | ر.س61.70 | 2 |
| Oct ’23 | ر.س72.50 | ر.س76.00 +4.8% | 5.3% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س72.00 | ر.س62.00 | 2 |
| Sep ’23 | ر.س67.40 | ر.س76.00 +12.8% | 5.3% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س72.00 | ر.س71.50 | 2 |
| Aug ’23 | ر.س66.60 | ر.س76.00 +14.1% | 5.3% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س72.00 | ر.س83.60 | 2 |
| Jul ’23 | ر.س61.10 | ر.س76.00 +24.4% | 5.3% | ر.س80.00 | ر.س72.00 | n/a | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.