Theeb Rent A Car Company

SASE:4261 Stock Report

Market Cap: ر.س3.3b

Theeb Rent A Car Valuation

Is 4261 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4261 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
ر.س62.59
Fair Value
24.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 4261 (SAR78) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR62.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4261 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4261?

Key metric: As 4261 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4261. This is calculated by dividing 4261's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4261's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.1x
Earningsر.س167.07m
Market Capر.س3.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4261's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4261 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
4262 Lumi Rental
26.7x15.2%ر.س4.2b
4260 United International Transportation
24x16.3%ر.س6.7b
9584 Riyal Investment and Development
13.5xn/aر.س231.2m
4031 Saudi Ground Services
33.6x12.4%ر.س9.9b
4261 Theeb Rent A Car
20.1x12.1%ر.س3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4261 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4261's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Transportation Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4261 20.1xIndustry Avg. 13.3xNo. of Companies31PE01020304050+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4261 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the Asian Transportation industry average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4261's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4261 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.1x
Fair PE Ratio23.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4261 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4261 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س78.00
ر.س82.54
+5.8%
12.6%ر.س102.00ر.س71.00n/a5
Jan ’26ر.س76.00
ر.س82.54
+8.6%
12.6%ر.س102.00ر.س71.00n/a5
Dec ’25ر.س75.00
ر.س82.54
+10.1%
12.6%ر.س102.00ر.س71.00n/a5
Nov ’25ر.س77.70
ر.س82.54
+6.2%
12.6%ر.س102.00ر.س71.00n/a5
Oct ’25ر.س78.00
ر.س82.54
+5.8%
12.6%ر.س102.00ر.س71.00n/a5
Sep ’25ر.س74.60
ر.س76.14
+2.1%
6.3%ر.س82.00ر.س70.00n/a5
Aug ’25ر.س65.30
ر.س70.30
+7.7%
0.7%ر.س71.00ر.س69.90n/a3
Jul ’25ر.س68.50
ر.س70.23
+2.5%
0.6%ر.س71.00ر.س69.90n/a4
Jun ’25ر.س62.70
ر.س70.60
+12.6%
1.2%ر.س72.10ر.س69.90n/a5
May ’25ر.س68.00
ر.س70.78
+4.1%
1.2%ر.س72.10ر.س70.00n/a4
Apr ’25ر.س67.50
ر.س70.78
+4.9%
1.2%ر.س72.10ر.س70.00n/a4
Mar ’25ر.س74.00
ر.س70.78
-4.4%
1.2%ر.س72.10ر.س70.00n/a4
Feb ’25ر.س64.80
ر.س70.78
+9.2%
1.2%ر.س72.10ر.س70.00n/a4
Jan ’25ر.س65.50
ر.س70.78
+8.1%
1.2%ر.س72.10ر.س70.00ر.س76.004
Dec ’24ر.س60.70
ر.س80.20
+32.1%
15.3%ر.س97.50ر.س71.00ر.س75.003
Mar ’24ر.س78.20
ر.س76.00
-2.8%
5.3%ر.س80.00ر.س72.00ر.س74.002
Feb ’24ر.س68.90
ر.س76.00
+10.3%
5.3%ر.س80.00ر.س72.00ر.س64.802
Jan ’24ر.س71.20
ر.س76.00
+6.7%
5.3%ر.س80.00ر.س72.00ر.س65.502
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
ر.س82.54
Fair Value
5.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/19 15:55
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Theeb Rent A Car Company is covered by 5 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jassim Al-JubranAljazira Capital Company
Muhammad SaadAl Rajhi Capital
Hatem AlaaEFG-Hermes Research