Saudi Ground Services Valuation
Is 4031 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 4031 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 4031 (SAR56.2) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR22.96)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 4031 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4031?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is 4031's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | ر.س10.57b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 4.1x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 29.1x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 4031's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 34.8x | ||
2190 Sustained Infrastructure Holding | 43.7x | 39.5% | ر.س3.1b |
4263 SAL Saudi Logistics Services | 42.5x | 11.1% | ر.س21.7b |
4260 United International Transportation | 21.3x | 11.4% | ر.س5.9b |
4262 Lumi Rental | 31.5x | 24.8% | ر.س5.1b |
4031 Saudi Ground Services | 50x | 28.9% | ر.س10.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4031 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50x) compared to the peer average (34.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 4031's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Infrastructure Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4031 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50x) compared to the Asian Infrastructure industry average (14.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 4031's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 50x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 41.8x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4031 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (50x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41.8x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | ر.س56.20 | ر.س40.25 -28.4% | 11.8% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س35.50 | n/a | 2 |
| Apr ’25 | ر.س49.30 | ر.س39.53 -19.8% | 10.1% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س35.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | ر.س41.40 | ر.س41.55 +0.4% | 8.3% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س38.10 | n/a | 2 |
| Feb ’25 | ر.س41.20 | ر.س41.55 +0.8% | 8.3% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س38.10 | n/a | 2 |
| Jan ’25 | ر.س36.30 | ر.س41.55 +14.5% | 8.3% | ر.س45.00 | ر.س38.10 | n/a | 2 |
| Dec ’24 | ر.س30.50 | ر.س41.90 +37.4% | 11.3% | ر.س48.60 | ر.س38.10 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | ر.س29.40 | ر.س41.90 +42.5% | 11.3% | ر.س48.60 | ر.س38.10 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | ر.س29.40 | ر.س41.90 +42.5% | 11.3% | ر.س48.60 | ر.س38.10 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | ر.س33.30 | ر.س43.80 +31.5% | 11.0% | ر.س48.60 | ر.س39.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Aug ’24 | ر.س32.85 | ر.س43.80 +33.3% | 11.0% | ر.س48.60 | ر.س39.00 | n/a | 2 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | ر.س43.80 0% | 11.0% | ر.س48.60 | ر.س39.00 | n/a | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.