Stock Analysis

Saudi Ground Services Company (TADAWUL:4031) On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Stock?

SASE:4031
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Most readers would already know that Saudi Ground Services' (TADAWUL:4031) stock increased by 4.6% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Saudi Ground Services' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Saudi Ground Services

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Saudi Ground Services is:

12% = ر.س293m ÷ ر.س2.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every SAR1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated SAR0.12 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Saudi Ground Services' Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

It is quite clear that Saudi Ground Services' ROE is rather low. However, when compared to the industry average of 8.2%, we do feel there's definitely more to the company. Especially considering that Saudi Ground Services has seen a decent 8.4% net income growth seen over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. So there might well be other reasons for the earnings to grow. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

We then performed a comparison between Saudi Ground Services' net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 9.9% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:4031 Past Earnings Growth January 5th 2025

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Saudi Ground Services is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Saudi Ground Services Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Saudi Ground Services has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 67%, meaning that it is left with only 33% to reinvest into its business. This implies that the company has been able to achieve decent earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Moreover, Saudi Ground Services is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of six years of paying a dividend. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 76%. As a result, Saudi Ground Services' ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 13% for future ROE.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Saudi Ground Services has some positive aspects to its business. Especially the substantial growth in earnings backed by a decent ROE. Despite the company reinvesting only a small portion of its profits, it still has managed to grow its earnings so that is appreciable. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.