Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds Sustained Infrastructure Holding Company (TADAWUL:2190) But Growth Is Lacking

SASE:2190
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There wouldn't be many who think Sustained Infrastructure Holding Company's (TADAWUL:2190) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Infrastructure industry in Saudi Arabia is very similar. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Sustained Infrastructure Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SASE:2190 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024

How Has Sustained Infrastructure Holding Performed Recently?

Sustained Infrastructure Holding could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Sustained Infrastructure Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Sustained Infrastructure Holding?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Sustained Infrastructure Holding's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. The latest three year period has also seen a 29% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 21% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 11%.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Sustained Infrastructure Holding's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our check of Sustained Infrastructure Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. With this in mind, we don't feel the current P/S is justified as declining revenues are unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Sustained Infrastructure Holding (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.