Qassim Cement Valuation

Is 3040 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3040 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3040 (SAR58.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR14.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3040 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3040?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3040 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue8.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA26.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3040's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3040 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.5x
3050 Southern Province Cement
29.2xn/aر.س5.7b
3060 Yanbu Cement
38.5xn/aر.س4.6b
3030 Saudi Cement
18.8x8.9%ر.س7.2b
3003 City Cement
27.4x15.4%ر.س2.8b
3040 Qassim Cement
37.1xn/aر.س5.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3040 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.1x) compared to the peer average (28.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3040's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SA Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3040 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.1x) compared to the SA Basic Materials industry average (27.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3040's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3040 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio37.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 3040's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3040 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س58.50
ر.س59.30
+1.4%
8.9%ر.س64.60ر.س54.00n/a2
Apr ’25ر.س58.50
ر.س61.57
+5.2%
8.7%ر.س66.10ر.س54.00n/a3
Mar ’25ر.س59.50
ر.س61.57
+3.5%
8.7%ر.س66.10ر.س54.00n/a3
Feb ’25ر.س58.80
ر.س62.25
+5.9%
7.7%ر.س66.10ر.س54.00n/a4
Jan ’25ر.س63.80
ر.س63.38
-0.7%
3.4%ر.س66.10ر.س60.00n/a5
Dec ’24ر.س63.80
ر.س63.38
-0.7%
3.4%ر.س66.10ر.س60.00n/a5
Nov ’24ر.س62.70
ر.س63.38
+1.1%
3.4%ر.س66.10ر.س60.00n/a5
Oct ’24ر.س64.30
ر.س63.38
-1.4%
3.4%ر.س66.10ر.س60.00n/a5
Sep ’24ر.س66.80
ر.س63.38
-5.1%
3.4%ر.س66.10ر.س60.00n/a5
Aug ’24ر.س68.90
ر.س61.16
-11.2%
5.7%ر.س64.60ر.س55.00n/a5
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س61.25
0%
5.2%ر.س64.60ر.س55.00n/a6
Jun ’24ر.س70.20
ر.س60.14
-14.3%
5.1%ر.س64.30ر.س55.00n/a5
May ’24ر.س69.80
ر.س59.10
-15.3%
4.2%ر.س61.70ر.س55.00n/a4
Apr ’24ر.س67.30
ر.س59.10
-12.2%
4.2%ر.س61.70ر.س55.00ر.س58.504
Mar ’24ر.س67.50
ر.س62.46
-7.5%
11.3%ر.س75.90ر.س55.00ر.س59.505
Feb ’24ر.س66.30
ر.س62.46
-5.8%
11.3%ر.س75.90ر.س55.00ر.س58.805
Jan ’24ر.س63.60
ر.س63.66
+0.09%
13.5%ر.س75.90ر.س51.00ر.س63.805
Dec ’23ر.س63.40
ر.س65.28
+3.0%
13.0%ر.س75.90ر.س51.00ر.س63.805
Nov ’23ر.س74.10
ر.س67.38
-9.1%
14.3%ر.س78.00ر.س51.00ر.س62.705
Oct ’23ر.س77.40
ر.س67.38
-12.9%
14.3%ر.س78.00ر.س51.00ر.س64.305
Sep ’23ر.س79.00
ر.س68.36
-13.5%
15.5%ر.س78.00ر.س51.00ر.س66.805
Aug ’23ر.س79.50
ر.س68.36
-14.0%
15.5%ر.س78.00ر.س51.00ر.س68.905
Jul ’23ر.س79.20
ر.س68.36
-13.7%
15.5%ر.س78.00ر.س51.00n/a5
Jun ’23ر.س80.00
ر.س72.70
-9.1%
9.4%ر.س78.00ر.س61.00ر.س70.204
May ’23ر.س80.40
ر.س71.20
-11.4%
8.6%ر.س75.90ر.س61.00ر.س69.804
Apr ’23ر.س84.20
ر.س69.63
-17.3%
9.1%ر.س75.90ر.س61.00ر.س67.303

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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