YAMAMA Cement Valuation

Is 3020 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3020 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3020 (SAR33.95) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR13.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3020 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3020?

Key metric: As 3020 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 3020. This is calculated by dividing 3020's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 3020's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.6x
Earningsر.س350.35m
Market Capر.س6.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3020's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3020 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.5x
3030 Saudi Cement
16x3.3%ر.س6.5b
3040 Qassim Cement
22.3x16.5%ر.س5.8b
3092 Riyadh Cement
14.1x-6.9%ر.س3.8b
3050 Southern Province Cement
21.5x5.8%ر.س4.7b
3020 YAMAMA Cement
19.6x6.6%ر.س6.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3020 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the peer average (18.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3020's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Basic Materials Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
3020 19.6xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies34PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3020 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the Asian Basic Materials industry average (17.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3020's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3020 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.6x
Fair PE Ratio20.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3020 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3020 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س33.95
ر.س36.10
+6.3%
10.9%ر.س40.70ر.س31.00n/a5
Dec ’25ر.س31.40
ر.س35.63
+13.5%
12.0%ر.س40.70ر.س31.00n/a4
Nov ’25ر.س32.05
ر.س37.70
+17.6%
12.4%ر.س43.60ر.س31.00n/a6
Oct ’25ر.س31.65
ر.س38.68
+22.2%
11.9%ر.س43.60ر.س30.00n/a5
Sep ’25ر.س32.50
ر.س37.23
+14.6%
14.2%ر.س43.60ر.س30.00n/a6
Aug ’25ر.س32.75
ر.س37.34
+14.0%
13.2%ر.س43.60ر.س30.00n/a7
Jul ’25ر.س32.95
ر.س37.34
+13.3%
13.2%ر.س43.60ر.س30.00n/a7
Jun ’25ر.س32.20
ر.س37.34
+16.0%
13.2%ر.س43.60ر.س30.00n/a7
May ’25ر.س35.00
ر.س36.83
+5.2%
14.8%ر.س43.60ر.س30.00n/a8
Apr ’25ر.س34.40
ر.س37.30
+8.4%
13.1%ر.س43.40ر.س30.00n/a7
Mar ’25ر.س36.05
ر.س37.30
+3.5%
13.1%ر.س43.40ر.س30.00n/a7
Feb ’25ر.س30.45
ر.س37.30
+22.5%
13.1%ر.س43.40ر.س30.00n/a7
Jan ’25ر.س33.95
ر.س37.73
+11.1%
11.4%ر.س43.40ر.س30.00n/a7
Dec ’24ر.س32.70
ر.س36.81
+12.6%
11.9%ر.س43.40ر.س30.00ر.س31.407
Nov ’24ر.س30.10
ر.س37.03
+23.0%
11.2%ر.س43.40ر.س33.00ر.س32.054
Oct ’24ر.س33.35
ر.س37.03
+11.0%
11.2%ر.س43.40ر.س33.00ر.س31.654
Sep ’24ر.س33.00
ر.س36.38
+10.2%
10.8%ر.س43.40ر.س33.00ر.س32.505
Aug ’24ر.س36.20
ر.س35.32
-2.4%
12.2%ر.س43.40ر.س30.00ر.س32.756
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س35.32
0%
12.2%ر.س43.40ر.س30.00ر.س32.956
Jun ’24ر.س33.85
ر.س33.53
-0.9%
7.0%ر.س38.00ر.س30.00ر.س32.206
May ’24ر.س33.25
ر.س32.44
-2.4%
4.2%ر.س33.80ر.س30.00ر.س35.005
Apr ’24ر.س30.80
ر.س32.44
+5.3%
4.2%ر.س33.80ر.س30.00ر.س34.405
Mar ’24ر.س31.30
ر.س32.44
+3.6%
4.2%ر.س33.80ر.س30.00ر.س36.055
Feb ’24ر.س28.80
ر.س32.44
+12.6%
4.2%ر.س33.80ر.س30.00ر.س30.455
Jan ’24ر.س27.40
ر.س32.84
+19.9%
3.5%ر.س34.00ر.س31.00ر.س33.955
Dec ’23ر.س27.10
ر.س32.70
+20.7%
3.8%ر.س34.00ر.س31.00ر.س32.704

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 04:52
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

YAMAMA Cement Company is covered by 21 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jassim Al-JubranAljazira Capital Company
Mazen Al-SudairiAl Rajhi Capital
Mohamad HaidarArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.