Riyadh Cement Valuation

Is 3092 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3092 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3092 (SAR27.65) is trading above our estimate of fair value (SAR24.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3092 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3092?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3092 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.5x
PEG Ratio3.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3092's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3092 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25.5x
3010 Arabian Cement
22x5.1%ر.س3.1b
3080 Eastern Province Cement
14.4x-8.1%ر.س2.9b
3060 Yanbu Cement
38.4x13.9%ر.س4.6b
3003 City Cement
27.4x7.0%ر.س2.9b
3092 Riyadh Cement
17.6x5.1%ر.س3.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3092 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the peer average (25.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3092's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the SA Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3092 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the SA Basic Materials industry average (27.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3092's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3092 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.6x
Fair PE Ratio21.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3092 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3092 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentر.س27.50
ر.س33.90
+23.3%
13.1%ر.س39.00ر.س29.00n/a4
Apr ’25ر.س28.60
ر.س35.53
+24.2%
11.1%ر.س39.00ر.س30.00n/a3
Mar ’25ر.س28.85
ر.س35.53
+23.2%
11.1%ر.س39.00ر.س30.00n/a3
Feb ’25ر.س28.95
ر.س35.53
+22.7%
11.1%ر.س39.00ر.س30.00n/a3
Jan ’25ر.س34.00
ر.س36.87
+8.4%
5.7%ر.س39.00ر.س34.00n/a3
Dec ’24ر.س34.80
ر.س35.57
+2.2%
4.2%ر.س37.60ر.س34.00n/a3
Nov ’24ر.س29.60
ر.س35.57
+20.2%
4.2%ر.س37.60ر.س34.00n/a3
Oct ’24ر.س32.00
ر.س35.57
+11.1%
4.2%ر.س37.60ر.س34.00n/a3
Sep ’24ر.س32.70
ر.س35.57
+8.8%
4.2%ر.س37.60ر.س34.00n/a3
Aug ’24ر.س33.65
ر.س35.57
+5.7%
4.2%ر.س37.60ر.س34.00n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
ر.س35.57
0%
4.2%ر.س37.60ر.س34.00n/a3
Jun ’24ر.س31.00
ر.س32.10
+3.5%
5.9%ر.س34.00ر.س30.20n/a2
May ’24ر.س32.50
ر.س32.10
-1.2%
5.9%ر.س34.00ر.س30.20ر.س27.502
Apr ’24ر.س32.00
ر.س32.10
+0.3%
5.9%ر.س34.00ر.س30.20ر.س28.602
Mar ’24ر.س30.35
ر.س32.10
+5.8%
5.9%ر.س34.00ر.س30.20ر.س28.852
Feb ’24ر.س31.90
ر.س32.10
+0.6%
5.9%ر.س34.00ر.س30.20ر.س28.952
Jan ’24ر.س31.00
ر.س33.10
+6.8%
8.8%ر.س36.00ر.س30.20ر.س34.002
Nov ’23ر.س32.25
ر.س38.70
+20.0%
5.9%ر.س41.60ر.س36.00ر.س29.603
Oct ’23ر.س32.00
ر.س38.70
+20.9%
5.9%ر.س41.60ر.س36.00ر.س32.003
Sep ’23ر.س34.95
ر.س39.23
+12.2%
4.5%ر.س41.60ر.س36.80ر.س32.704
Aug ’23ر.س33.40
ر.س39.23
+17.4%
4.5%ر.س41.60ر.س36.80ر.س33.654
Jul ’23ر.س34.85
ر.س39.23
+12.6%
4.5%ر.س41.60ر.س36.80n/a4
Jun ’23ر.س32.30
ر.س39.23
+21.4%
4.5%ر.س41.60ر.س36.80ر.س31.004
May ’23ر.س34.70
ر.س39.23
+13.0%
4.5%ر.س41.60ر.س36.80ر.س32.504

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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