Stock Analysis

Qassim Cement (TADAWUL:3040) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To SAR0.65

SASE:3040
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The board of Qassim Cement Company (TADAWUL:3040) has announced that the dividend on 14th of June will be increased to SAR0.65, which will be 30% higher than last year's payment of SAR0.50 which covered the same period. The payment will take the dividend yield to 3.0%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

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Qassim Cement's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was much higher than its earnings. This situation certainly isn't ideal, and could place significant strain on the balance sheet if it continues.

EPS is set to grow by 34.8% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 88% - on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

historic-dividend
SASE:3040 Historic Dividend May 27th 2023

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of SAR6.00 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of SAR2.20. This works out to be a decline of approximately 9.5% per year over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. In the last five years, Qassim Cement's earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 6.9% per annum. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits. Earnings are predicted to grow over the next year, but we would remain cautious until a track record of earnings growth is established.

Qassim Cement's Dividend Doesn't Look Great

In conclusion, we have some concerns about this dividend, even though it being raised is good. The company's earnings aren't high enough to be making such big distributions, and it isn't backed up by strong growth or consistency either. Considering all of these factors, we wouldn't rely on this dividend if we wanted to live on the income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Qassim Cement (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.