Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance Company (TADAWUL:8311) With Shares Advancing 30%

SASE:8311
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Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance Company (TADAWUL:8311) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 40% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 45.4x, since almost half of all companies in Saudi Arabia have P/E ratios under 25x and even P/E's lower than 16x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SASE:8311 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry September 11th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 27%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has got Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If you're unsure about the strength of Saudi Enaya Cooperative Insurance's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.