- Saudi Arabia
- /
- Healthcare Services
- /
- SASE:4009
Some Investors May Be Worried About Middle East Healthcare's (TADAWUL:4009) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Middle East Healthcare (TADAWUL:4009) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Middle East Healthcare, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.063 = ر.س182m ÷ (ر.س4.7b - ر.س1.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Thus, Middle East Healthcare has an ROCE of 6.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Healthcare industry average of 12%.
View our latest analysis for Middle East Healthcare
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Middle East Healthcare compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Middle East Healthcare.
SWOT Analysis for Middle East Healthcare
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
- Interest payments on debt are not well covered.
- Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Saudi market.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
- Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Middle East Healthcare's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 14%, but since then they've fallen to 6.3%. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 39%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 6.3%. While the ratio isn't currently too high, it's worth keeping an eye on this because if it gets particularly high, the business could then face some new elements of risk.
The Key Takeaway
While returns have fallen for Middle East Healthcare in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 19% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. Therefore we'd recommend looking further into this stock to confirm if it has the makings of a good investment.
One final note, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Middle East Healthcare (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SASE:4009
Middle East Healthcare
A healthcare provider, owns and operates a network of hospitals under the Saudi German Hospital name in the Middle East and North Africa.
Proven track record and fair value.