Stock Analysis

Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (TADAWUL:2380) shareholders have endured a 52% loss from investing in the stock three years ago

SASE:2380
Source: Shutterstock

If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But the long term shareholders of Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Company (TADAWUL:2380) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. So they might be feeling emotional about the 66% share price collapse, in that time.

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

See our latest analysis for Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical

Because Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

In the last three years Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical saw its revenue shrink by 6.7% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. With revenue in decline, and profit but a dream, we can understand why the share price has been declining at 18% per year. Of course, it's the future that will determine whether today's price is a good one. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and can't grow revenues. But any company is worth looking at when it makes a maiden profit.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SASE:2380 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 6th 2025

If you are thinking of buying or selling Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical's TSR, which was a 52% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 1.5% in the twelve months, Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical shareholders did even worse, losing 10.0%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical (at least 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Saudi exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SASE:2380

Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical

Engages in the development, construction, and operation of an integrated refining and petrochemical complex in the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.

Fair value very low.

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