Stock Analysis

We Like CATRION Catering Holding's (TADAWUL:6004) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit

SASE:6004
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The stock was sluggish on the back of CATRION Catering Holding Company's (TADAWUL:6004) recent earnings report. Along with the solid headline numbers, we think that investors have some reasons for optimism.

View our latest analysis for CATRION Catering Holding

earnings-and-revenue-history
SASE:6004 Earnings and Revenue History April 5th 2024

Zooming In On CATRION Catering Holding's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, CATRION Catering Holding recorded an accrual ratio of -0.29. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of ر.س472m, well over the ر.س282.7m it reported in profit. CATRION Catering Holding shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On CATRION Catering Holding's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, CATRION Catering Holding produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that CATRION Catering Holding's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And the EPS is up 9.9% over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. You'd be interested to know, that we found 1 warning sign for CATRION Catering Holding and you'll want to know about it.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of CATRION Catering Holding's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CATRION Catering Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.