Stock Analysis

Can Mixed Financials Have A Negative Impact on Saudi Ceramic Company's 's (TADAWUL:2040) Current Price Momentum?

SASE:2040
Source: Shutterstock

Most readers would already know that Saudi Ceramic's (TADAWUL:2040) stock increased by 6.3% over the past three months. Given that the stock prices usually follow long-term business performance, we wonder if the company's mixed financials could have any adverse effect on its current price price movement Specifically, we decided to study Saudi Ceramic's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

Check out our latest analysis for Saudi Ceramic

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Saudi Ceramic is:

3.9% = ر.س59m ÷ ر.س1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every SAR1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of SAR0.04.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Saudi Ceramic's Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

As you can see, Saudi Ceramic's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.7%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 43% seen by Saudi Ceramic over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

However, when we compared Saudi Ceramic's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 4.7% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SASE:2040 Past Earnings Growth February 8th 2021

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 2040? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Saudi Ceramic Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Saudi Ceramic doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Saudi Ceramic can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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