Saudi National Bank Valuation

Is 1180 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1180 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1180's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 1180's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1180?

Key metric: As 1180 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 1180. This is calculated by dividing 1180's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 1180's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	9.8x
Earnings	ر.س19.84b
Market Cap	ر.س194.70b

1180 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1180's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1180 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	13.1x
1120 Al Rajhi Banking and Investment	20.6x	13.9%	ر.س361.2b
1010 Riyad Bank	9.6x	5.9%	ر.س83.6b
1150 Alinma Bank	13.3x	11.0%	ر.س70.5b
1060 Saudi Awwal Bank	8.7x	7.0%	ر.س66.2b
1180 Saudi National Bank	9.8x	8.4%	ر.س194.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 1180 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the peer average (13.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1180's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Banks Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 1180 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the Asian Banks industry average (8.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1180's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1180 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	9.8x
Fair PE Ratio	12.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 1180 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1180 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	ر.س32.75	ر.س46.73 +42.7%	9.1%	ر.س55.00	ر.س38.40	n/a	15
Dec ’25	ر.س32.50	ر.س46.73 +43.8%	9.1%	ر.س55.00	ر.س38.40	n/a	15
Nov ’25	ر.س33.15	ر.س47.02 +41.8%	8.9%	ر.س55.00	ر.س38.40	n/a	15
Oct ’25	ر.س34.60	ر.س47.22 +36.5%	8.9%	ر.س55.00	ر.س38.40	n/a	14
Sep ’25	ر.س35.20	ر.س47.35 +34.5%	8.5%	ر.س55.00	ر.س38.90	n/a	14
Aug ’25	ر.س38.05	ر.س47.17 +24.0%	7.9%	ر.س55.00	ر.س40.40	n/a	14
Jul ’25	ر.س36.15	ر.س47.02 +30.1%	8.0%	ر.س55.00	ر.س40.40	n/a	14
Jun ’25	ر.س33.85	ر.س46.87 +38.5%	8.0%	ر.س55.00	ر.س40.40	n/a	15
May ’25	ر.س37.25	ر.س47.61 +27.8%	6.9%	ر.س55.00	ر.س41.00	n/a	15
Apr ’25	ر.س39.70	ر.س47.54 +19.7%	6.8%	ر.س55.00	ر.س41.00	n/a	15
Mar ’25	ر.س42.35	ر.س45.96 +8.5%	7.3%	ر.س51.00	ر.س39.40	n/a	14
Feb ’25	ر.س41.15	ر.س44.54 +8.2%	8.3%	ر.س52.00	ر.س39.40	n/a	14
Jan ’25	ر.س38.80	ر.س41.96 +8.1%	9.9%	ر.س47.00	ر.س31.30	n/a	13
Dec ’24	ر.س34.95	ر.س42.04 +20.3%	10.1%	ر.س47.00	ر.س31.30	ر.س32.50	13
Nov ’24	ر.س35.00	ر.س42.50 +21.4%	9.3%	ر.س47.00	ر.س31.30	ر.س33.15	12
Oct ’24	ر.س33.10	ر.س44.01 +32.9%	10.8%	ر.س52.00	ر.س32.90	ر.س34.60	12
Sep ’24	ر.س35.75	ر.س45.33 +26.8%	6.9%	ر.س52.00	ر.س40.60	ر.س35.20	12
Aug ’24	ر.س38.80	ر.س46.20 +19.1%	7.6%	ر.س52.00	ر.س40.60	ر.س38.05	13
Jul ’24	n/a	ر.س47.18 0%	7.2%	ر.س52.00	ر.س41.00	ر.س36.15	13
Jun ’24	ر.س36.65	ر.س47.43 +29.4%	6.5%	ر.س52.00	ر.س42.75	ر.س33.85	13
May ’24	ر.س37.24	ر.س47.65 +28.0%	7.5%	ر.س54.00	ر.س41.25	ر.س37.25	13
Apr ’24	ر.س34.39	ر.س49.36 +43.5%	10.9%	ر.س62.25	ر.س41.25	ر.س39.70	11
Mar ’24	ر.س35.25	ر.س50.24 +42.5%	10.6%	ر.س62.25	ر.س42.75	ر.س42.35	11
Feb ’24	ر.س36.11	ر.س52.91 +46.5%	10.8%	ر.س62.25	ر.س42.75	ر.س41.15	10
Jan ’24	ر.س38.03	ر.س54.25 +42.7%	10.7%	ر.س62.25	ر.س42.75	ر.س38.80	10
Dec ’23	ر.س38.10	ر.س56.61 +48.6%	10.0%	ر.س63.75	ر.س48.60	ر.س34.95	9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 23:13
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/22 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Saudi National Bank is covered by 20 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Kais Kriaa	AlphaMena
Jaap Meijer	Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Abanob Magdy	Beltone Financial